LD Alajuelense vs CD Marathon Prediction - September 18, 2026

Concacaf Central American CupWorldFull time
LD Alajuelense
3:1
CD Marathon
Correct scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.31Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.10price falling, opened at 2.15
Draw3.10
Away3.60price rising, opened at 3.50

Market move since Sep 17. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.28price falling, opened at 1.31
Under 1.53.48price rising, opened at 3.28
Over 2.51.92price falling, opened at 1.99
Under 2.51.83price rising, opened at 1.77
Over 3.53.40
Under 3.51.29
Both teams to score
Yes1.73
No1.92
First to score
Home1.69price rising, opened at 1.65
No goal9.50price rising, opened at 9.00
Away2.35price falling, opened at 2.45
Handicap
Home -0.251.77price falling, opened at 1.80
Away +0.251.99price rising, opened at 1.95

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for LD Alajuelense vs CD Marathon?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: CD Marathon are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Match analysis

Thirteen goals scored and just three conceded across their last five matches makes Marathon the form side heading to Alajuelense on 18 September, even after the two drew 2-2 just a week ago. Superior still projects a 1-1 draw for the rematch, with a 1-0 Alajuelense win as the alternate.

Marathon have scored thirteen goals in their last five games

They have conceded just three in that stretch too, including a 5-0 win and back-to-back clean sheets, the strongest form of any side in this fixture list. Alajuelense, by contrast, have won only once in five, drawing twice and losing twice, and the two sides drew 2-2 in their most recent meeting just a week ago, a result that split the goals evenly despite Marathon's superior form.

Alajuelense's own 3-1 home win came only last time out

That result, their most recent match, shows Alajuelense can still be productive in front of their own fans, which is what keeps Superior's alternate at a home win rather than assuming Marathon's road form simply repeats. If Marathon's defense, so composed in recent weeks, has an off night against a home crowd, the shared point in the main projection could just as easily tip toward Alajuelense instead.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.7%Our score
  2. 1-012.4%Alternative
  3. 0-19.7%
  4. 2-19.0%
  5. 2-08.2%

Top five combined: 51.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeLD AlajuelensexG1.28
AwayCD MarathonxG1.16
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.5%
12%
8.2%
3.4%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
1
9.7%
12%
9.0%
3.7%
1.1%
0.3%
<0.1%
2
5.6%
7.7%
4.2%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
2.1%
2.7%
1.8%
0.7%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.7%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 48.5%51.5% No
Over 1.5 70.3%29.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 44.9%55.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 22.7%77.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

LD Alajuelense win and over 2.5 goals22.6%
LD Alajuelense win and both teams score17.6%
CD Marathon win and over 2.5 goals17.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals19.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
LD Alajuelense or draw67.3%
CD Marathon or draw56.8%
Either team wins75.8%
Draw no bet: LD Alajuelense56.9%
Draw no bet: CD Marathon43.1%
LD Alajuelense win to nil25.6%
CD Marathon win to nil18.4%
Team goals
LD Alajuelense to score74.1%
CD Marathon to score66.9%
LD Alajuelense over 1.5 goals38.6%
CD Marathon over 1.5 goals31.2%
LD Alajuelense clean sheet33.1%
CD Marathon clean sheet25.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.61

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Prediction, preview and head to head: LD Alajuelense vs CD Marathon
Head to Head

Head to Head

CD Marathon
2 - 2
LD Alajuelense
September 11, 2026
LD Alajuelense vs CD Marathon: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
September 11, 2026CD Marathon2 - 2LD Alajuelense