Aris Thessaloniki vs Marko Prediction - September 16, 2026

CupGreeceFull time
Aris Thessaloniki
1:0
Marko
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.75Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.18price rising, opened at 1.15
Draw6.27price rising, opened at 5.95
Away15.00price rising, opened at 12.50

Market move since Sep 16. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.19price rising, opened at 1.12
Under 1.54.33price falling, opened at 5.10
Over 2.51.69price rising, opened at 1.44
Under 2.52.10price falling, opened at 2.43
Over 3.52.65price rising, opened at 2.13
Under 3.51.45price falling, opened at 1.61
Both teams to score
Yes2.77price rising, opened at 2.08
No1.41price falling, opened at 1.64
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.83
Even1.87price rising, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home -21.95price rising, opened at 1.87
Away +21.85price rising, opened at 1.79

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Aris Thessaloniki vs Marko?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Marko are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Aris Thessaloniki and Marko average 1.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.0%Projected
  2. 1-011.5%Alternative
  3. 2-19.1%
  4. 0-19.0%
  5. 2-07.7%

Top five combined: 49.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAris ThessalonikixG1.20
AwayMarkoxG1.24
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.6%
11%
7.7%
4.0%
1.4%
0.8%
0.2%
1
9.0%
12%
9.1%
3.9%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
2
5.1%
7.1%
4.4%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
2.3%
2.7%
1.8%
0.7%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.7%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 49.5%50.5% No
Over 1.5 71.9%28.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 47.1%52.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 24.8%75.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Aris Thessaloniki win and over 2.5 goals24.8%
Aris Thessaloniki win and both teams score18.5%
Marko win and over 2.5 goals17.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals19.5%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Aris Thessaloniki or draw68.8%
Marko or draw56.0%
Either team wins75.2%
Draw no bet: Aris Thessaloniki58.6%
Draw no bet: Marko41.4%
Aris Thessaloniki win to nil25.5%
Marko win to nil17.4%
Team goals
Aris Thessaloniki to score75.0%
Marko to score66.9%
Aris Thessaloniki over 1.5 goals40.6%
Marko over 1.5 goals31.0%
Aris Thessaloniki clean sheet33.1%
Marko clean sheet25.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.60

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Aris Thessaloniki vs Marko

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