Erbil vs Al-Karma Prediction - September 14, 2026

Iraqi LeagueIraqFull time
Erbil
1:2
Al-Karma
Correct scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.19Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.61price falling, opened at 2.64
Draw2.65price falling, opened at 2.66
Away2.76price falling, opened at 2.79

Market move since Sep 14. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.34price falling, opened at 1.36
Under 1.52.78price rising, opened at 2.70
Over 2.52.13price falling, opened at 2.19
Under 2.51.61price rising, opened at 1.59
Over 3.53.58price falling, opened at 3.74
Under 3.51.21price rising, opened at 1.19
Both teams to score
Yes1.81price falling, opened at 1.82
No1.86price rising, opened at 1.85
Odd/Even
Odd1.99
Even1.68
Handicap
Home +01.77price falling, opened at 1.78
Away +01.89price falling, opened at 1.90

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Erbil vs Al-Karma?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Al-Karma are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-015.9%Our score
  2. 1-113.2%Alternative
  3. 0-012.8%
  4. 0-110.2%
  5. 2-08.8%

Top five combined: 60.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeErbilxG1.08
AwayAl-KarmaxG0.99
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13%
16%
8.8%
3.5%
0.9%
0.2%
<0.1%
1
10%
13%
8.6%
3.0%
0.9%
0.2%
<0.1%
2
4.5%
5.6%
3.5%
1.5%
0.4%
<0.1%
<0.1%
3
1.4%
1.6%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 41.2%58.8% No
Over 1.5 61.1%38.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 34.6%65.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 15.6%84.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Erbil win and over 2.5 goals19.6%
Erbil win and both teams score14.9%
Al-Karma win and over 2.5 goals11.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals26.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Erbil or draw74.3%
Al-Karma or draw55.7%
Either team wins70.0%
Draw no bet: Erbil63.3%
Draw no bet: Al-Karma36.7%
Erbil win to nil29.4%
Al-Karma win to nil16.6%
Team goals
Erbil to score70.6%
Al-Karma to score57.8%
Erbil over 1.5 goals33.8%
Al-Karma over 1.5 goals21.6%
Erbil clean sheet42.2%
Al-Karma clean sheet29.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

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Head to Head

Head to Head

Erbil vs Al-Karma: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
October 3, 2025Erbil2 - 1Al-Karma
League Table

League Table

Iraqi LeagueIraq · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
18530153+1218
27520135+817
37421134+914
4742193+614
5733185+312
6733174+312
7731398+110
8723267-19
97232710-39
107151101008
1172231213-18
127223911-28
1371421011-17
14714245-17
15714268-27
1682151014-47
177133712-56
188134513-86
197124612-65
208125412-85
Iraqi League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Al Zawra'a85301531218
2Al-Karma7520135817
3Newroz7421134914
4Erbil742193614
5Naft733185312
6Al Shorta733174312
7Al Minaa Basra731398110
8Al-jolan Sc723267-19
9Zakho7232710-39
10Duhok7151101008
11Diyala72231213-18
12Mosul7223911-28
13Al Quwa Al Jawiya71421011-17
14Ghaz Al Shamal714245-17
15Al Kahrabaa714268-27
16Al Karkh82151014-47
17Al Talaba7133712-56
18Naft Maysan8134513-86
19Karbala7124612-65
20Gharraf8125412-85