Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction

Correct scoreOur pick

0-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.22Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.81

Draw3.12

Away2.54

Market move since Sep 10. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.36

Under 1.53.00

Over 2.52.21

Under 2.51.67

Over 3.53.71

Under 3.51.25

Both teams to score

Yes1.87

No1.87

Odd/Even

Odd1.93

Even1.82

Handicap

Home +01.96

Away +01.84

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Deportivo Maldonado are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 10, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-8Methodology

Why this prediction

Defensor Sporting and Deportivo Maldonado average 2.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

0-114.0%Our score
1-113.3%Alternative
0-012.7%
1-011.2%
0-28.0%

Top five combined: 59.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeDefensor SportingxG0.95

AwayDeportivo MaldonadoxG1.13

13%

11%

4.9%

1.6%

0.4%

0.1%

<0.1%

14%

13%

6.2%

1.8%

0.5%

0.1%

<0.1%

8.0%

7.9%

3.7%

1.2%

0.3%

<0.1%

3.2%

3.1%

1.6%

0.4%

0.1%

<0.1%

1.1%

0.9%

0.4%

0.2%

<0.1%

0.3%

0.2%

0.1%

<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 42.5%57.5% No

Over 1.5 62.2%37.8% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 36.0%64.0% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 17.0%83.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Defensor Sporting win and over 2.5 goals12.6%

Defensor Sporting win and both teams score10.4%

Deportivo Maldonado win and over 2.5 goals19.2%

Draw and under 2.5 goals26.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Defensor Sporting or draw58.8%

Deportivo Maldonado or draw71.3%

Either team wins69.8%

Draw no bet: Defensor Sporting41.1%

Draw no bet: Deportivo Maldonado58.9%

Defensor Sporting win to nil18.3%

Deportivo Maldonado win to nil26.6%

Team goals

Defensor Sporting to score60.8%

Deportivo Maldonado to score69.1%

Defensor Sporting over 1.5 goals24.0%

Deportivo Maldonado over 1.5 goals33.1%

Defensor Sporting clean sheet30.9%

Deportivo Maldonado clean sheet39.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.61

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado

Head to Head

Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
March 15, 2026	Deportivo Maldonado	1 - 0	Defensor Sporting

League Table

Primera División - AperturaUruguay · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Peñarol Montevideo	28	17	5	6	46	23	+23	55
2	Deportivo Maldonado	29	15	7	7	44	27	+17	52
3	Racing Montevideo	28	14	10	4	35	22	+13	52
4	Penarol	15	8	3	4	23	16	+7	27
4	Atletico Torque	27	15	5	7	47	31	+16	50
5	Club Nacional	29	14	4	11	43	38	+5	46
6	Wanderers	29	12	8	9	36	35	+1	44
7	Liverpool Montevideo	28	11	9	8	37	27	+10	42
8	Central Espanol	28	10	8	10	30	33	-3	38
9	Juventud	29	9	8	12	35	39	-4	35
10	Albion FC	29	9	7	13	37	38	-1	34
11	Cerro Largo	29	8	9	12	28	32	-4	33
12	Defensor Sporting	29	7	11	11	25	33	-8	32
13	Cerro	29	9	5	15	23	43	-20	32
14	Boston River	29	8	6	15	28	40	-12	30
15	Danubio	29	4	14	11	24	38	-14	26
16	Progreso	29	7	4	18	23	42	-19	25

Primera División - Apertura - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Peñarol Montevideo	28	17	5	6	46	23	23	55
2	Deportivo Maldonado	29	15	7	7	44	27	17	52	DLDWW
3	Racing Montevideo	28	14	10	4	35	22	13	52	WLDDD
4	Penarol	15	8	3	4	23	16	7	27	WWDWL
4	Atletico Torque	27	15	5	7	47	31	16	50	LWWLW
5	Club Nacional	29	14	4	11	43	38	5	46	LDWLW
6	Wanderers	29	12	8	9	36	35	1	44	WWWDW
7	Liverpool Montevideo	28	11	9	8	37	27	10	42	DWLDW
8	Central Espanol	28	10	8	10	30	33	-3	38	DLDDW
9	Juventud	29	9	8	12	35	39	-4	35	DWLDL
10	Albion FC	29	9	7	13	37	38	-1	34	DLDWL
11	Cerro Largo	29	8	9	12	28	32	-4	33	LWDDW
12	Defensor Sporting	29	7	11	11	25	33	-8	32	LDDDL
13	Cerro	29	9	5	15	23	43	-20	32	WWLLW
14	Boston River	29	8	6	15	28	40	-12	30	LLDDL
15	Danubio	29	4	14	11	24	38	-14	26	DLDDD
16	Progreso	29	7	4	18	23	42	-19	25	WLLWL

Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction - September 13, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Why this prediction

Markets to consider

Premium model depth

Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

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Correlated combos

More Primera División - Apertura Predictions

Head to Head

League Table

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