Aston Villa W vs Manchester City W Prediction - September 13, 2026

FA WSLEnglandFull time
Aston Villa W
1:4
Manchester City W
Projected scoreOur pick
0-2

Alternative:0-3

Asian Handicap: Away -0.51.27Won

Bookmaker odds

Home8.58price falling, opened at 8.60
Draw6.26price rising, opened at 5.25
Away1.26

Market move since Sep 10. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.10price falling, opened at 1.13
Under 1.56.00price rising, opened at 4.90
Over 2.51.42price falling, opened at 1.45
Under 2.52.75price rising, opened at 2.41
Over 3.52.11price falling, opened at 2.25
Under 3.51.73price rising, opened at 1.57
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.83
Even1.87price rising, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home +1.751.90
Away -1.751.90

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Aston Villa W vs Manchester City W?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 2, with 0-3 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Manchester City W are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Manchester City W won 5 of their last 5 matches; Aston Villa W won 0 of 5.
  • Manchester City W average 3.8 goals per match against 0.6 for Aston Villa W.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-29.7%Projected
  2. 0-39.7%Alternative
  3. 1-28.9%
  4. 0-18.6%
  5. 1-37.4%

Top five combined: 44.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAston Villa WxG0.91
AwayManchester City WxG2.45
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.2%
2.7%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
1
8.6%
6.5%
3.0%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
2
9.7%
8.9%
3.6%
1.2%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
3
9.7%
7.4%
3.2%
0.9%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
6.4%
4.6%
1.8%
0.6%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
4.3%
2.9%
1.1%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
2.6%
1.8%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 50.8%49.2% No
Over 1.5 85.6%14.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 68.1%31.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 46.0%54.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Aston Villa W win and over 2.5 goals7.0%
Aston Villa W win and both teams score6.3%
Manchester City W win and over 2.5 goals56.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals9.6%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Aston Villa W or draw25.3%
Manchester City W or draw89.0%
Either team wins85.7%
Draw no bet: Aston Villa W12.9%
Draw no bet: Manchester City W87.1%
Aston Villa W win to nil4.8%
Manchester City W win to nil41.3%
Team goals
Aston Villa W to score55.5%
Manchester City W to score92.1%
Aston Villa W over 1.5 goals20.9%
Manchester City W over 1.5 goals72.7%
Aston Villa W clean sheet7.9%
Manchester City W clean sheet44.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.60

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Aston Villa W vs Manchester City W
Head to Head

Head to Head

Aston Villa W vs Manchester City W: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 15, 2026Aston Villa W0 - 0Manchester City W
December 14, 2025Manchester City W6 - 1Aston Villa W