Racing Montevideo vs Boston River Prediction - September 12, 2026

Primera División - AperturaUruguayFull time
Racing Montevideo
3:2
Boston River
Correct scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.20Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.94price falling, opened at 1.98
Draw3.15price rising, opened at 3.13
Away3.75price falling, opened at 3.77

Market move since Sep 9. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.39price falling, opened at 1.40
Under 1.52.59price rising, opened at 2.56
Over 2.52.27price falling, opened at 2.29
Under 2.51.56price rising, opened at 1.55
Over 3.54.10price falling, opened at 4.20
Under 3.51.16
Both teams to score
Yes2.00
No1.71
Odd/Even
Odd1.84
Even1.82
Handicap
Home -0.251.65price falling, opened at 1.69
Away +0.252.03price rising, opened at 2.00

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Racing Montevideo vs Boston River?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Boston River are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-7Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Racing Montevideo and Boston River average 2.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-015.5%Our score
  2. 1-113.2%Alternative
  3. 0-013.1%
  4. 0-111.1%
  5. 2-09.2%

Top five combined: 62.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeRacing MontevideoxG1.18
AwayBoston RiverxG0.85
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13%
16%
9.2%
3.6%
1.1%
0.3%
<0.1%
1
11%
13%
7.8%
3.1%
0.9%
0.2%
<0.1%
2
4.7%
5.6%
3.3%
1.3%
0.4%
<0.1%
<0.1%
3
1.3%
1.6%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 39.6%60.4% No
Over 1.5 60.2%39.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 33.2%66.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 14.9%85.1% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Racing Montevideo win and over 2.5 goals19.0%
Racing Montevideo win and both teams score14.0%
Boston River win and over 2.5 goals10.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals26.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Racing Montevideo or draw73.7%
Boston River or draw56.2%
Either team wins70.0%
Draw no bet: Racing Montevideo62.5%
Draw no bet: Boston River37.5%
Racing Montevideo win to nil29.8%
Boston River win to nil17.5%
Team goals
Racing Montevideo to score69.4%
Boston River to score57.1%
Racing Montevideo over 1.5 goals33.2%
Boston River over 1.5 goals20.8%
Racing Montevideo clean sheet42.9%
Boston River clean sheet30.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.61

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Team news

Expected formations

Boston River: 4-4-1-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Racing Montevideo vs Boston River
Head to Head

Head to Head

Racing Montevideo vs Boston River: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
August 2, 2026Racing Montevideo1 - 0Boston River
March 14, 2026Boston River0 - 1Racing Montevideo
March 5, 2026Boston River1 - 0Racing Montevideo
September 13, 2025Racing Montevideo0 - 0Boston River
May 23, 2025Racing Montevideo2 - 0Boston River
League Table

League Table

Primera División - AperturaUruguay · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12817564623+2355
22915774427+1752
328141043522+1352
4158342316+727
42715574731+1650
529144114338+546
62912893635+144
72811983727+1042
828108103033-338
92998123539-435
102997133738-134
112989122832-433
1229711112533-832
132995152343-2032
142986152840-1230
1529414112438-1426
162974182342-1925
Primera División - Apertura - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Peñarol Montevideo28175646232355
2Deportivo Maldonado29157744271752DLDWW
3Racing Montevideo281410435221352WLDDD
4Penarol158342316727WWDWL
4Atletico Torque27155747311650LWWLW
5Club Nacional29144114338546LDWLW
6Wanderers2912893635144WWWDW
7Liverpool Montevideo28119837271042DWLDW
8Central Espanol28108103033-338DLDDW
9Juventud2998123539-435DWLDL
10Albion FC2997133738-134DLDWL
11Cerro Largo2989122832-433LWDDW
12Defensor Sporting29711112533-832LDDDL
13Cerro2995152343-2032WWLLW
14Boston River2986152840-1230LLDDL
15Danubio29414112438-1426DLDDD
16Progreso2974182342-1925WLLWL