Paysandu vs La Luz Prediction - September 12, 2026

Segunda DivisiónUruguayFull time
Paysandu
0:1
La Luz
Correct scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.19Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.98price rising, opened at 2.94
Draw2.91price falling, opened at 2.93
Away2.37price falling, opened at 2.38

Market move since Sep 11. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.39price falling, opened at 1.40
Under 1.52.59price rising, opened at 2.56
Over 2.52.27price falling, opened at 2.29
Under 2.51.55price rising, opened at 1.54
Over 3.54.10price falling, opened at 4.15
Under 3.51.16
Both teams to score
Yes1.91price falling, opened at 1.92
No1.77price rising, opened at 1.75
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.86
Even1.77price falling, opened at 1.78
Handicap
Home +0.251.68price rising, opened at 1.67
Away -0.251.96price falling, opened at 1.98

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Paysandu vs La Luz?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Paysandu are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Paysandu and La Luz average 1.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-113.5%Our score
  2. 1-011.8%Alternative
  3. 0-111.6%
  4. 0-011.4%
  5. 2-18.2%

Top five combined: 56.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomePaysanduxG1.13
AwayLa LuzxG1.11
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
11%
12%
6.8%
2.8%
0.9%
0.3%
<0.1%
1
12%
14%
8.2%
2.9%
0.9%
0.3%
<0.1%
2
5.6%
7.3%
4.1%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
<0.1%
3
2.1%
2.3%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.6%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 46.0%54.0% No
Over 1.5 65.2%34.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 39.3%60.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 19.0%81.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Paysandu win and over 2.5 goals19.0%
Paysandu win and both teams score15.0%
La Luz win and over 2.5 goals15.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals24.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Paysandu or draw67.2%
La Luz or draw62.4%
Either team wins70.3%
Draw no bet: Paysandu53.4%
Draw no bet: La Luz46.6%
Paysandu win to nil22.6%
La Luz win to nil20.0%
Team goals
Paysandu to score68.6%
La Luz to score66.0%
Paysandu over 1.5 goals32.8%
La Luz over 1.5 goals28.5%
Paysandu clean sheet34.0%
La Luz clean sheet31.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.61

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Paysandu vs La Luz
Head to Head

Head to Head

Paysandu vs La Luz: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
June 6, 2026La Luz1 - 2Paysandu
League Table

League Table

Segunda DivisiónUruguay · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1641185+313
2633092+712
36321137+611
4624096+310
5623185+39
6623175+29
7623165+19
7623165+19
862318809
9614156-17
10612337-45
11611447-34
126114511-64
136114613-74
14603359-43
Segunda División - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Oriental641185313LWWWD
2Plaza Colonia633092712WDDWW
3Fenix6321137611WLWWD
4Sportivo Huracan624096310DWWDD
5Colón62318539DWDLD
6Uruguay Montevideo62317529DWLWD
7Rentistas62316519DLWWD
7Rentistas Montevideo62316519
8Cerrito62318809DDLWD
9La Luz614156-17DLWDD
10Miramar612337-45DDLWL
11Paysandu611447-34LDLLW
12Atenas6114511-64LWLLL
13CA River Plate6114613-74WLLLD
14Tacuarembo603359-43DLLLD