Carlisle vs Southend Prediction - September 12, 2026

National LeagueEnglandFull time
Carlisle
2:2
Southend
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.21Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.22price rising, opened at 2.21
Draw3.42
Away2.80price falling, opened at 2.82

Market move since Sep 9. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.15
Under 1.54.30
Over 2.51.60
Under 2.52.19
Over 3.52.43
Under 3.51.44
Both teams to score
Yes1.50
No2.38
Odd/Even
Odd1.85
Even1.81
Handicap
Home -0.251.93price rising, opened at 1.91
Away +0.251.75price falling, opened at 1.76

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Carlisle vs Southend?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-7Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Carlisle and Southend average 4.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.0%Projected
  2. 2-18.9%Alternative
  3. 1-27.8%
  4. 1-07.7%
  5. 0-16.8%

Top five combined: 42.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCarlislexG1.62
AwaySouthendxG1.43
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.8%
7.7%
6.2%
3.4%
1.4%
0.4%
0.2%
1
6.8%
11%
8.9%
4.8%
1.9%
0.6%
0.2%
2
4.8%
7.8%
6.3%
3.4%
1.4%
0.4%
0.2%
3
2.3%
3.7%
3.0%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.8%
1.3%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.2%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 60.9%39.1% No
Over 1.5 80.7%19.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 58.6%41.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 36.2%63.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Carlisle win and over 2.5 goals28.2%
Carlisle win and both teams score22.9%
Southend win and over 2.5 goals22.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals15.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Carlisle or draw66.2%
Southend or draw57.8%
Either team wins76.0%
Draw no bet: Carlisle55.5%
Draw no bet: Southend44.5%
Carlisle win to nil19.3%
Southend win to nil15.1%
Team goals
Carlisle to score80.2%
Southend to score76.0%
Carlisle over 1.5 goals48.1%
Southend over 1.5 goals41.7%
Carlisle clean sheet24.0%
Southend clean sheet19.8%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.83

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Carlisle vs Southend
Head to Head

Head to Head

Carlisle vs Southend: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 7, 2026Carlisle2 - 2Southend
November 8, 2025Southend1 - 2Carlisle
League Table

League Table

National LeagueEngland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
16510168+816
27421127+514
36411159+613
46411128+413
56402108+212
6640276+112
76321139+411
86321128+411
9632174+311
10631287+110
11630378-19
12730456-19
136303710-39
1462221310+38
1562138807
1662131112-17
176204910-16
18612389-15
1961231216-45
206123711-45
216114812-44
22611459-44
236114410-64
246015617-111
Relegation
National League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Boreham Wood6510168816
2Kidderminster Harriers7421127514
3Harrogate Town6411159613
4Southend6411128413
5AFC Hornchurch6402108212
6Sutton United640276112
7AFC Fylde6321139411
8Yeovil Town6321128411
9Aldershot Town632174311
10Eastleigh631287110
11Altrincham630378-19
12Hartlepool730456-19
13Forest Green6303710-39
14Carlisle6222131038
15Boston United62138807
16Worthing62131112-17
17FC Halifax Town6204910-16
18Barrow612389-15
19Tamworth61231216-45
20Wealdstone6123711-45
21Scunthorpe6114812-44
22Gateshead611459-44
23Woking6114410-64
24Solihull Moors6015617-111