UCSA vs Chernihiv Prediction - September 11, 2026

Projected scoreOur pick

1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.30Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.30

Draw3.20

Away2.85

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.27

Under 1.53.19

Over 2.51.86

Under 2.51.78

Both teams to score

Yes1.71

No1.90

First to score

Home1.75

No goal9.00

Away2.20

Handicap

Home -0.251.95

Away +0.251.71

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for UCSA vs Chernihiv?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 8, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

UCSA and Chernihiv average 3.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-19.0%Projected
1-28.8%Alternative
2-17.1%
2-26.9%
1-35.8%

Top five combined: 37.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeUCSAxG1.58

AwayChernihivxG1.96

2.9%

4.6%

3.6%

1.9%

0.7%

0.2%

0.1%

5.7%

9.0%

7.1%

3.7%

1.5%

0.5%

0.2%

5.6%

8.8%

6.9%

3.6%

1.4%

0.5%

0.2%

3.7%

5.8%

4.5%

2.4%

0.9%

0.3%

0.1%

1.8%

2.8%

2.2%

1.2%

0.5%

0.1%

0.0%

0.7%

1.1%

0.9%

0.5%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.3%

0.5%

0.4%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 68.1%31.9% No

Over 1.5 86.8%13.2% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 68.6%31.4% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 47.1%52.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

UCSA win and over 2.5 goals23.1%

UCSA win and both teams score20.1%

Chernihiv win and over 2.5 goals35.6%

Draw and under 2.5 goals11.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

UCSA or draw53.0%

Chernihiv or draw68.7%

Either team wins78.2%

Draw no bet: UCSA40.0%

Draw no bet: Chernihiv60.0%

UCSA win to nil11.2%

Chernihiv win to nil17.8%

Team goals

UCSA to score79.3%

Chernihiv to score85.9%

UCSA over 1.5 goals46.7%

Chernihiv over 1.5 goals58.3%

UCSA clean sheet14.1%

Chernihiv clean sheet20.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

3 selections at 1.95

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Prediction, preview and head to head: UCSA vs Chernihiv

Head to Head

UCSA vs Chernihiv: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
May 2, 2026	UCSA	0 - 2	Chernihiv
October 13, 2025	Chernihiv	2 - 0	UCSA

League Table

Persha LigaUkraine · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	6	5	1	0	10	2	+8	16
2	SK Poltava	6	3	3	0	8	1	+7	12
3	Oleksandria	6	3	3	0	11	5	+6	12
4	Kulykiv	6	3	2	1	12	7	+5	11
5	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	6	3	1	2	11	9	+2	10
6	Metal Kharkiv	6	3	1	2	9	7	+2	10
7	UCSA	7	2	3	2	12	13	-1	9
8	Prykarpattia	6	2	2	2	8	6	+2	8
9	Inhulets	6	2	2	2	7	9	-2	8
10	Chernihiv	7	1	4	2	8	9	-1	7
11	Yarud Mariupol'	6	2	1	3	7	9	-2	7
12	Nyva Ternopil	6	1	3	2	5	6	-1	6
13	Kolos Kovalivka II	6	2	0	4	4	8	-4	6
14	Polissya II	6	0	3	3	7	10	-3	3
15	Lokomotiv Kyiv	6	0	3	3	4	8	-4	3
16	Probiy Horodenka	6	0	2	4	4	18	-14	2

Relegation

Persha Liga - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	6	5	1	0	10	2	8	16	WW
2	SK Poltava	6	3	3	0	8	1	7	12	DW
3	Oleksandria	6	3	3	0	11	5	6	12	DD
4	Kulykiv	6	3	2	1	12	7	5	11	DW
5	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	6	3	1	2	11	9	2	10	WL
6	Metal Kharkiv	6	3	1	2	9	7	2	10	WL
7	UCSA	7	2	3	2	12	13	-1	9	DD
8	Prykarpattia	6	2	2	2	8	6	2	8	DL
9	Inhulets	6	2	2	2	7	9	-2	8	WD
10	Chernihiv	7	1	4	2	8	9	-1	7	DD
11	Yarud Mariupol'	6	2	1	3	7	9	-2	7	LL
12	Nyva Ternopil	6	1	3	2	5	6	-1	6	DD
13	Kolos Kovalivka II	6	2	0	4	4	8	-4	6	LW
14	Polissya II	6	0	3	3	7	10	-3	3	LD
15	Lokomotiv Kyiv	6	0	3	3	4	8	-4	3	DD
16	Probiy Horodenka	6	0	2	4	4	18	-14	2	LD

UCSA vs Chernihiv Prediction - September 11, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for UCSA vs Chernihiv?

Why this prediction

Markets to consider

Premium model depth

Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Head to Head

League Table