Cerro vs Cerrito Prediction - September 10, 2026

Copa UruguayUruguayFull time
Cerro
0:2
Cerrito
Correct scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.20Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.11price rising, opened at 2.08
Draw2.93price falling, opened at 3.20
Away3.50price rising, opened at 3.27

Market move since Sep 7. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.42price rising, opened at 1.39
Under 1.52.49price falling, opened at 2.59
Over 2.52.36price rising, opened at 2.27
Under 2.51.51price falling, opened at 1.55
Over 3.54.40price rising, opened at 4.30
Under 3.51.14price falling, opened at 1.15
Both teams to score
Yes2.01price rising, opened at 1.96
No1.69price falling, opened at 1.73
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.81
Even1.77price falling, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home -0.251.80
Away +0.251.88

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Cerro vs Cerrito?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Cerro are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Cerro and Cerrito average 2.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-013.5%Our score
  2. 1-113.2%Alternative
  3. 0-010.9%
  4. 0-110.7%
  5. 2-08.3%

Top five combined: 56.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCerroxG1.23
AwayCerritoxG0.98
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
11%
14%
8.3%
3.4%
1.1%
0.3%
<0.1%
1
11%
13%
8.2%
3.4%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
2
5.2%
6.5%
4.0%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
<0.1%
3
1.7%
2.1%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 44.3%55.7% No
Over 1.5 64.9%35.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 38.1%61.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 18.3%81.7% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Cerro win and over 2.5 goals20.2%
Cerro win and both teams score15.4%
Cerrito win and over 2.5 goals13.3%
Draw and under 2.5 goals24.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Cerro or draw70.8%
Cerrito or draw57.9%
Either team wins71.3%
Draw no bet: Cerro59.0%
Draw no bet: Cerrito41.0%
Cerro win to nil26.7%
Cerrito win to nil18.2%
Team goals
Cerro to score70.9%
Cerrito to score62.4%
Cerro over 1.5 goals35.0%
Cerrito over 1.5 goals25.6%
Cerro clean sheet37.6%
Cerrito clean sheet29.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.61

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Cerro vs Cerrito