Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

1-0

Alternative:0-0

Goals: Under 3.51.38Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.48

Draw4.38

Away6.70

Market move since Aug 29. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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Total goals

Over 1.51.30

Under 1.53.48

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.79

Over 3.53.34

Under 3.51.32

Both teams to score

Yes2.04

No1.77

Odd/Even

Odd1.87

Even1.87

Handicap

Home -11.77

Away +12.04

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 0-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Aug 29, 2026, 00:04 UTCModel CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Primera A: Deportes Tolima vs Cúcuta DeportivoWin SportsUnlock with Premium
Primera A: Deportes Tolima vs Cúcuta DeportivoWin SportsUnlock with Premium

Match analysis

Cucuta sit 19th of 40 in a Colombian relegation fight with 59 points still to play for, and that context is central to Superior's pick of Under 3.5 goals for their trip to Deportes Tolima on 1 September, available at 1.38. The model backs that total at 74 percent confidence.

Cucuta are fighting relegation with 59 points still to play for

A rank of 19th out of 40 and a recent run of one win in five, form reading LLDLW, point to a side more concerned with damage limitation than chasing goals away from home. Tolima, sitting comfortably in mid-table by contrast, have their own modest scoring rate of 1.0 goals a game, and the two sides together average just 1.8 goals combined, well under the 3.5 line here.

Cucuta's attack rating of 6.7 is higher than their recent output suggests

Desperation in a relegation fight can cut both ways, and Cucuta's attack rating of 6.7 shows they still create enough to trouble a defence if they commit numbers forward while chasing a result. LOSES IF: this match produces four or more total goals, which would need a much more open game than either side's cautious recent form suggests is likely.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-019.4%Projected
2-013.8%
0-013.7%Alternative
1-111.0%
2-17.8%

Top five combined: 65.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeDeportes TolimaxG1.42

AwayCucutaxG0.57

14%

19%

14%

6.5%

2.3%

0.7%

0.2%

7.8%

11%

7.8%

3.7%

1.3%

0.4%

0.1%

2.2%

3.1%

2.2%

1.1%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

0.4%

0.6%

0.4%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 32.9%67.1% No

Over 1.5 59.1%40.9% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 32.0%68.0% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 14.1%85.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Deportes Tolima win and over 2.5 goals24.7%

Deportes Tolima win and both teams score15.0%

Cucuta win and over 2.5 goals4.8%

Draw and under 2.5 goals24.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Deportes Tolima or draw85.2%

Cucuta or draw42.0%

Either team wins72.8%

Draw no bet: Deportes Tolima79.6%

Draw no bet: Cucuta20.4%

Deportes Tolima win to nil43.0%

Cucuta win to nil10.5%

Team goals

Deportes Tolima to score75.8%

Cucuta to score43.3%

Deportes Tolima over 1.5 goals41.5%

Cucuta over 1.5 goals11.2%

Deportes Tolima clean sheet56.7%

Cucuta clean sheet24.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta

Head to Head

Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
February 23, 2026	Cucuta	3 - 2	Deportes Tolima

League Table

Primera AColombia · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35	15	+20	40
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31	24	+7	35
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29	25	+4	34
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	25	15	+10	33
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31	22	+9	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27	17	+10	31
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29	22	+7	29
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	26	26	0	28
8	La Equidad FC	19	7	7	5	26	26	0	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	20	16	+4	27
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31	23	+8	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26	24	+2	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20	25	-5	26
12	Rionegro Aguilas	19	7	5	7	20	25	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26	20	+6	23
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17	20	-3	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	-5	22
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20	33	-13	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13	27	-14	17
17	Alianza Petrolera	19	3	8	8	13	27	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15	32	-17	17
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22	35	-13	16
19	Cúcuta Deportivo	19	3	7	9	22	35	-13	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15	32	-17	10

Primera A - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35	15	20	40	WWLWW
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31	24	7	35	LLLWW
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29	25	4	34	LLLLL
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	25	15	10	33	WWLDW
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31	22	9	33	DWDLW
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27	17	10	31	WWLLW
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29	22	7	29	DLLDW
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	26	26	0	28	LLLLW
8	La Equidad FC	19	7	7	5	26	26	0	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	20	16	4	27	LWDWL
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31	23	8	26	WLDWL
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26	24	2	26	WWLWW
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20	25	-5	26	WWWDL
12	Rionegro Aguilas	19	7	5	7	20	25	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26	20	6	23	DWLDL
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17	20	-3	22	DWLDL
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	-5	22	DDWLL
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20	33	-13	18	LLWDL
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13	27	-14	17	LDDDL
17	Alianza Petrolera	19	3	8	8	13	27	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15	32	-17	17	LWLLW
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22	35	-13	16	LLDLW
19	Cúcuta Deportivo	19	3	7	9	22	35	-13	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15	32	-17	10	DLLWL

Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta Prediction - September 1, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta?

Match highlights

Match analysis

Cucuta are fighting relegation with 59 points still to play for

Cucuta's attack rating of 6.7 is higher than their recent output suggests

Markets to consider

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Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

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Correlated combos

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Head to Head

League Table