Malacateco vs Xelajú Prediction - August 8, 2026

Liga NacionalGuatemalaFull time
Malacateco
2:2
Xelajú
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.20Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.03price rising, opened at 1.87
Draw3.02price falling, opened at 3.18
Away4.06price rising, opened at 3.96

Market move since Aug 7. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.50price rising, opened at 1.38
Under 1.52.50price falling, opened at 2.63
Over 2.52.48price rising, opened at 2.27
Under 2.51.50price falling, opened at 1.55
Over 3.54.70price rising, opened at 4.20
Under 3.51.17price rising, opened at 1.15
Both teams to score
Yes2.38price rising, opened at 2.01
No1.54price falling, opened at 1.69
Odd/Even
Odd2.02
Even1.74
Handicap
Home -0.251.70
Away +0.252.16

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Malacateco vs Xelajú?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Xelajú are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Malacateco and Xelajú average 3.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-016.4%Projected
  2. 1-112.1%Alternative
  3. 0-011.6%
  4. 2-011.6%
  5. 0-18.6%

Top five combined: 60.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeMalacatecoxG1.41
AwayXelajúxG0.74
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
12%
16%
12%
5.5%
1.9%
0.5%
0.2%
1
8.6%
12%
8.6%
4.0%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
2
3.2%
4.5%
3.2%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
3
0.8%
1.1%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 39.5%60.5% No
Over 1.5 63.4%36.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 36.4%63.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 17.1%82.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Malacateco win and over 2.5 goals25.1%
Malacateco win and both teams score17.0%
Xelajú win and over 2.5 goals7.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals23.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Malacateco or draw80.5%
Xelajú or draw46.8%
Either team wins72.7%
Draw no bet: Malacateco73.1%
Draw no bet: Xelajú26.9%
Malacateco win to nil36.2%
Xelajú win to nil12.7%
Team goals
Malacateco to score75.7%
Xelajú to score52.2%
Malacateco over 1.5 goals41.3%
Xelajú over 1.5 goals16.9%
Malacateco clean sheet47.8%
Xelajú clean sheet24.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Malacateco vs Xelajú
Head to Head

Head to Head

Malacateco vs Xelajú: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 6, 2026Xelajú1 - 0Malacateco
February 19, 2026Malacateco1 - 0Xelajú
September 29, 2025Xelajú3 - 0Malacateco
July 20, 2025Malacateco0 - 1Xelajú