HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka Prediction - August 31, 2026
Alternative:0-1
Goals: Under 3.51.32Won
What is the prediction for HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: HNK Rijeka are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match highlights
PremiumMatch analysis
1.4 combined goals a game is the season scoring average for HNK Gorica and HNK Rijeka, and it sits behind Superior's Goals Under 3.5 pick for their HNL meeting in Croatia on 31 August, priced at 1.32 with 69 percent confidence for a match neither side has found easy to open up.
Two low-scoring averages rarely both spike together
Gorica's 0.4 goals a game is the lowest home scoring rate on this slate, and they have failed to score in four of their last five matches, including back to back 0-2 losses to NK Osijek and Shakhtar Donetsk. Rijeka average 1.0 a game themselves and shipped four at home to FC Midtjylland on 27 August, four days before this trip to Croatia's south coast, in their Europa Conference League tie.
Rijeka's away trips have not stayed quiet
The counter case sits in the head to head log: three of the last five meetings between these clubs produced four goals or more, including a 4-0 Gorica win in March. Rijeka also won 3-2 away at HNK Rijeka's own ground against Istra 1961 on 23 August, showing an attack capable of running up a score even on the road. Four goals or more, not a repeat of Gorica's recent shutouts, is what beats this line.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Markets to consider
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Grade: WON
This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.
Scoreline Depth
- 1-111.3%Projected
- 0-111.0%Alternative
- 1-29.7%
- 0-29.5%
- 1-06.5%
Top five combined: 48.0%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Market Probability View
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Full Market Board
Correlated combos
Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.
Outcome markets
Team goals
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Today's acca
Lost2 selections at 1.97
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Team news
Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | HNK Rijeka | 2 - 0 | HNK Gorica |
| March 22, 2026 | HNK Gorica | 4 - 0 | HNK Rijeka |
| December 21, 2025 | HNK Rijeka | 1 - 0 | HNK Gorica |
| October 5, 2025 | HNK Gorica | 1 - 3 | HNK Rijeka |
| May 4, 2025 | HNK Rijeka | 2 - 1 | HNK Gorica |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +7 | 12 | ||
| 2 | 5 | +6 | 12 | ||
| 3 | 4 | +8 | 10 | ||
| 3 | 1 | +1 | 3 | ||
| 4 | 5 | +6 | 10 | ||
| 5 | 4 | 0 | 7 | ||
| 6 | 5 | -3 | 6 | ||
| 7 | 5 | +1 | 5 | ||
| 8 | 5 | -9 | 3 | ||
| 9 | 5 | -9 | 3 | ||
| 10 | 5 | -7 | 1 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NK Osijek | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| 2 | NK Varazdin | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 12 | |
| 3 | Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 10 | |
| 3 | NK Lokomotiva | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 4 | HNK Hajduk Split | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 10 | |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 | |
| 6 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 | |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 5 | |
| 8 | Rudes | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 3 | |
| 9 | NK Slaven Belupo | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 | |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 1 |