Washington Spirit W vs Bay FC W Prediction - August 30, 2026

NWSL WomenUSAFull time
Washington Spirit W
1:0
Bay FC W
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.50Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.49price rising, opened at 1.46
Draw4.05price falling, opened at 4.20
Away5.44price falling, opened at 5.60

Market move since Aug 27. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.19price rising, opened at 1.16
Under 1.54.10price falling, opened at 4.40
Over 2.51.64price rising, opened at 1.57
Under 2.52.02price falling, opened at 2.14
Over 3.52.73price rising, opened at 2.55
Under 3.51.39price falling, opened at 1.44
Odd/Even
Odd1.82
Even1.82
Handicap
Home -11.88price rising, opened at 1.82
Away +11.80price falling, opened at 1.86

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Washington Spirit W vs Bay FC W?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Washington Spirit W and Bay FC W average 2.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-013.1%Projected
  2. 1-112.2%Alternative
  3. 2-010.0%
  4. 2-19.3%
  5. 0-08.6%

Top five combined: 53.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeWashington Spirit WxG1.53
AwayBay FC WxG0.93
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
8.6%
13%
10%
5.1%
1.9%
0.6%
0.2%
1
8.0%
12%
9.3%
4.7%
1.8%
0.6%
0.2%
2
3.7%
5.6%
4.3%
2.2%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
3
1.1%
1.7%
1.3%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 47.3%52.7% No
Over 1.5 70.3%29.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 44.4%55.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 23.2%76.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Washington Spirit W win and over 2.5 goals28.1%
Washington Spirit W win and both teams score20.3%
Bay FC W win and over 2.5 goals11.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals20.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Washington Spirit W or draw77.1%
Bay FC W or draw48.7%
Either team wins74.2%
Draw no bet: Washington Spirit W69.1%
Draw no bet: Bay FC W30.9%
Washington Spirit W win to nil31.0%
Bay FC W win to nil13.1%
Team goals
Washington Spirit W to score78.3%
Bay FC W to score60.4%
Washington Spirit W over 1.5 goals45.1%
Bay FC W over 1.5 goals23.7%
Washington Spirit W clean sheet39.6%
Bay FC W clean sheet21.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Washington Spirit W vs Bay FC W
Head to Head

Head to Head

Washington Spirit W vs Bay FC W: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 5, 2026Bay FC0 - 2Washington Spirit W
August 23, 2025Bay FC2 - 3Washington Spirit W
March 29, 2025Washington Spirit W2 - 0Bay FC
League Table

League Table

NWSL WomenUSA · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12213632714+1345
22212463119+1240
32212373928+1139
42212373225+739
52211563630+638
62211384033+736
72210483531+434
8219482626031
9167272021-123
9217683127+427
10207582722+526
112275102830-226
122282122633-726
132272133443-923
142164112128-722
152155112434-1020
162251161347-3416
NWSL Women - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W22136327141345WWDWW
2Washington Spirit W22124631191240LWWWL
3Utah Royals W22123739281139WLWWL
4San Diego Wave W2212373225739WLDLW
5Portland Thorns W2211563630638LDLLW
6North Carolina Courage W2211384033736WLLLW
7Kansas City W2210483531434DWLDL
8OL Reign Women219482626031
9Seattle Reign FC W167272021-123WWLWL
9Denver Summit W217683127427DLWDL
10Angel City W207582722526DLWWW
11Houston Dash W2275102830-226LWDDL
12Orlando Pride W2282122633-726LWLLW
13Racing Louisville W2272133443-923WLWDL
14Bay FC W2164112128-722LLLWW
15Boston Legacy W2155112434-1020DWLWW
16Chicago Red Stars W2251161347-3416LLLLW