Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets Prediction - August 30, 2026

First LeagueBulgariaFull time
Spartak Varna
1:1
Ludogorets
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.25Won

Bookmaker odds

Home5.85price falling, opened at 6.20
Draw3.95price falling, opened at 4.00
Away1.54price rising, opened at 1.51

Market move since Aug 27. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.20price rising, opened at 1.19
Under 1.53.68price falling, opened at 3.82
Over 2.51.79price rising, opened at 1.75
Under 2.51.97price falling, opened at 2.02
Over 3.52.83price rising, opened at 2.74
Under 3.51.33price falling, opened at 1.35
Both teams to score
Yes1.83price rising, opened at 1.82
No1.87price falling, opened at 1.88
Odd/Even
Odd1.88
Even1.82
Handicap
Home +11.78price falling, opened at 1.82
Away -11.85price rising, opened at 1.81

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Ludogorets are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Spartak Varna and Ludogorets average 2.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-110.0%Projected
  2. 1-29.9%Alternative
  3. 0-19.6%
  4. 0-29.5%
  5. 1-36.6%

Top five combined: 45.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSpartak VarnaxG1.05
AwayLudogoretsxG1.98
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.8%
5.1%
2.7%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
1
9.6%
10%
5.3%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
2
9.5%
9.9%
5.2%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
3
6.3%
6.6%
3.4%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
4
3.1%
3.3%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
5
1.2%
1.3%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.6%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 56.0%44.0% No
Over 1.5 80.5%19.5% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 58.3%41.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 35.9%64.1% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Spartak Varna win and over 2.5 goals11.8%
Spartak Varna win and both teams score10.5%
Ludogorets win and over 2.5 goals40.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals14.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Spartak Varna or draw40.9%
Ludogorets or draw80.5%
Either team wins78.5%
Draw no bet: Spartak Varna24.8%
Draw no bet: Ludogorets75.2%
Spartak Varna win to nil8.9%
Ludogorets win to nil30.2%
Team goals
Spartak Varna to score64.9%
Ludogorets to score86.2%
Spartak Varna over 1.5 goals28.2%
Ludogorets over 1.5 goals58.9%
Spartak Varna clean sheet13.8%
Ludogorets clean sheet35.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets
Head to Head

Head to Head

Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 19, 2026Spartak Varna1 - 5Ludogorets
October 18, 2025Ludogorets1 - 1Spartak Varna
April 19, 2025Ludogorets2 - 1Spartak Varna
League Table

League Table

First LeagueBulgaria · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
17700204+1621
27520125+717
2330051+49
37511157+816
46510164+1216
57511114+716
67223510-58
77223913-48
8714276+17
97214812-47
107115816-84
117115415-114
127115714-74
136033712-53
147106310-73
Relegation
First League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Levski Sofia77002041621WWW
2Ludogorets7520125717WWW
2Ludogorets Razgrad33005149
3CSKA 19487511157816WWD
4CSKA Sofia65101641216WWD
5Arda Kardzhali7511114716LWD
6Septemvri Sofia7223510-58LLD
7Spartak Varna7223913-48WWD
8Slavia Sofia71427617DLD
9Botev Plovdiv7214812-47WLD
10Cherno More Varna7115816-84LLD
11Botev Vratsa7115415-114LLD
12Dunav Ruse7115714-74LLL
13Lokomotiv Sofia6033712-53DLD
14Lokomotiv Plovdiv7106310-73LWL