Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia Prediction - August 30, 2026

EkstraklasaPolandFull time
Raków Częstochowa
2:5
Jagiellonia
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.47Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.10price rising, opened at 2.02
Draw3.54price falling, opened at 3.62
Away3.17price falling, opened at 3.31

Market move since Aug 27. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.19price rising, opened at 1.17
Under 1.53.78price falling, opened at 3.94
Over 2.51.74price rising, opened at 1.70
Under 2.52.04price falling, opened at 2.09
Over 3.52.74price rising, opened at 2.63
Under 3.51.35price falling, opened at 1.38
Both teams to score
Yes1.61price rising, opened at 1.58
No2.18price falling, opened at 2.23
Odd/Even
Odd1.85
Even1.85
Handicap
Home -0.251.81price rising, opened at 1.75
Away +0.251.92price falling, opened at 1.99

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Jagiellonia are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Markets to consider

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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-113.2%Projected
  2. 1-012.7%Alternative
  3. 0-110.7%
  4. 0-010.3%
  5. 2-18.1%

Top five combined: 55.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeRaków CzęstochowaxG1.23
AwayJagielloniaxG1.04
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
10%
13%
7.9%
3.2%
1.0%
0.2%
0.1%
1
11%
13%
8.1%
3.4%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
2
5.5%
6.8%
4.2%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
3
1.9%
2.4%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.5%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 45.8%54.2% No
Over 1.5 66.3%33.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 39.6%60.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 19.5%80.5% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Raków Częstochowa win and over 2.5 goals20.1%
Raków Częstochowa win and both teams score15.6%
Jagiellonia win and over 2.5 goals14.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals23.5%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Raków Częstochowa or draw69.1%
Jagiellonia or draw59.3%
Either team wins71.6%
Draw no bet: Raków Częstochowa56.8%
Draw no bet: Jagiellonia43.2%
Raków Częstochowa win to nil25.1%
Jagiellonia win to nil18.8%
Team goals
Raków Częstochowa to score70.9%
Jagiellonia to score64.6%
Raków Częstochowa over 1.5 goals35.0%
Jagiellonia over 1.5 goals27.8%
Raków Częstochowa clean sheet35.4%
Jagiellonia clean sheet29.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

Jagiellonia: 4-3-3(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia
Head to Head

Head to Head

Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 13, 2026Raków Częstochowa0 - 2Jagiellonia
November 2, 2025Jagiellonia1 - 2Raków Częstochowa
May 10, 2025Raków Częstochowa1 - 2Jagiellonia
League Table

League Table

EkstraklasaPoland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
15410104+613
26330124+812
35401117+412
463121210+210
55302126+69
6530297+29
7522174+38
8522164+28
9522154+18
10622267-18
1162131013-37
126213613-77
136132101006
14613289-16
156123610-45
165113310-74
175104812-43
185005613-70
Relegation
Ekstraklasa - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Lech Poznan5410104613WD
2Legia Warszawa6330124812WW
3Gornik Zabrze5401117412W
4Wisla Krakow63121210210LW
5GKS Katowice530212669WL
6Jagiellonia53029729WW
7Pogon Szczecin52217438WL
8Korona Kielce52216428L
9Zaglebie Lubin52215418LW
10Cracovia Krakow622267-18LD
11Piast Gliwice62131013-37WL
12Radomiak Radom6213613-77LW
13Widzew Łódź6132101006DD
14Slask Wroclaw613289-16WL
15Motor Lublin6123610-45LD
16Wisla Plock5113310-74DW
17Wieczysta Kraków5104812-43LL
18Raków Częstochowa5005613-70LL