Matagalpa vs Rancho Santana Prediction - August 30, 2026

Primera DivisionNicaraguaFull time
Matagalpa
0:1
Rancho Santana
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.50Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.59price falling, opened at 1.65
Draw4.05price rising, opened at 3.92
Away5.33price rising, opened at 4.91

Market move since Aug 29. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.13price falling, opened at 1.14
Under 1.54.50price rising, opened at 4.33
Over 2.51.58price falling, opened at 1.61
Under 2.52.32price rising, opened at 2.25
Over 3.52.30price falling, opened at 2.38
Under 3.51.49price rising, opened at 1.46
Both teams to score
Yes1.60price rising, opened at 1.59
No2.15price falling, opened at 2.17
Odd/Even
Odd1.85
Even1.79
Handicap
Home -11.89
Away +11.79

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Matagalpa vs Rancho Santana?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Matagalpa are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Matagalpa and Rancho Santana average 1.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-013.6%Projected
  2. 1-112.6%Alternative
  3. 2-09.7%
  4. 0-09.6%
  5. 2-18.9%

Top five combined: 54.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeMatagalpaxG1.42
AwayRancho SantanaxG0.92
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
9.6%
14%
9.7%
4.6%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
1
8.8%
13%
8.9%
4.2%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
2
4.1%
5.8%
4.1%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
3
1.3%
1.8%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 45.8%54.2% No
Over 1.5 68.0%32.0% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 41.6%58.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 21.0%79.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Matagalpa win and over 2.5 goals25.3%
Matagalpa win and both teams score18.5%
Rancho Santana win and over 2.5 goals11.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals22.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Matagalpa or draw75.6%
Rancho Santana or draw51.4%
Either team wins73.1%
Draw no bet: Matagalpa66.6%
Draw no bet: Rancho Santana33.4%
Matagalpa win to nil30.1%
Rancho Santana win to nil14.5%
Team goals
Matagalpa to score75.9%
Rancho Santana to score60.3%
Matagalpa over 1.5 goals41.6%
Rancho Santana over 1.5 goals23.6%
Matagalpa clean sheet39.7%
Rancho Santana clean sheet24.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

More Primera Division Predictions

77%
H&H Export
Real Estelí
Goals Over/Under: Under 3.5 @ 1.32
62%
San Marcos
Walter Ferretti
Goals Over/Under: Over 1.5 @ 1.23
View All Predictions
Prediction, preview and head to head: Matagalpa vs Rancho Santana
Head to Head

Head to Head

Matagalpa
0 - 2
Rancho Santana
January 24, 2026
Matagalpa
1 - 4
Rancho Santana
September 27, 2025
Rancho Santana
1 - 2
Matagalpa
July 22, 2025
Matagalpa vs Rancho Santana: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
January 24, 2026Matagalpa0 - 2Rancho Santana
September 27, 2025Matagalpa1 - 4Rancho Santana
July 22, 2025Rancho Santana1 - 2Matagalpa
League Table

League Table

Primera DivisionNicaragua · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Managua
6600203+1718
2
Real Estelí
7511154+1116
3
Diriangén
6420114+714
4
UNAN Managua
742185+314
5
H&H Export
7322813-511
6
San Marcos
8224611-58
7
Walter Ferretti
82151013-37
8
Matagalpa
7205313-106
9
Rancho Santana
8116613-74
10
Jalapa
8116311-84
Primera Division - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Managua66002031718WWW
2Real Estelí75111541116WWD
3Diriangén6420114714DWD
4UNAN Managua742185314DWD
5H&H Export7322813-511WDW
6San Marcos8224611-58LDD
7Walter Ferretti82151013-37WLL
8Matagalpa7205313-106LLL
9Rancho Santana8116613-74LLL
10Jalapa8116311-84LLW