Mansfield Town vs Luton Prediction - August 30, 2026

League OneEnglandFull time
Mansfield Town
5:2
Luton
Projected scoreOur pick
1-2

Alternative:2-2

Goals: Over 2.51.68Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.70price falling, opened at 2.92
Draw3.60price rising, opened at 3.58
Away2.36price rising, opened at 2.25

Market move since Aug 27. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.13price falling, opened at 1.15
Under 1.54.55price rising, opened at 4.30
Over 2.51.58price falling, opened at 1.63
Under 2.52.33price rising, opened at 2.23
Over 3.52.32price falling, opened at 2.45
Under 3.51.49price rising, opened at 1.44
Both teams to score
Yes1.47price falling, opened at 1.51
No2.50price rising, opened at 2.39
Odd/Even
Odd1.86
Even1.82
Handicap
Home +02.00
Away +01.76

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Mansfield Town vs Luton?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 2, with 2-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Luton are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Mansfield Town and Luton average 3.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 2.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-27.5%Projected
  2. 2-27.2%Alternative
  3. 1-16.7%
  4. 2-16.5%
  5. 1-35.6%

Top five combined: 33.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeMansfield TownxG1.93
AwayLutonxG2.24
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.5%
3.0%
2.9%
1.9%
0.9%
0.3%
0.2%
1
3.5%
6.7%
6.5%
4.2%
2.0%
0.8%
0.3%
2
3.9%
7.5%
7.2%
4.7%
2.2%
0.9%
0.4%
3
2.9%
5.6%
5.4%
3.5%
1.7%
0.6%
0.3%
4
1.6%
3.1%
3.0%
1.9%
0.9%
0.4%
0.2%
5
0.7%
1.4%
1.3%
0.9%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
6+
0.4%
0.7%
0.7%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 76.4%23.6% No
Over 1.5 92.0%8.0% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 78.6%21.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 59.9%40.1% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Mansfield Town win and over 2.5 goals28.3%
Mansfield Town win and both teams score25.1%
Luton win and over 2.5 goals38.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals8.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Mansfield Town or draw54.3%
Luton or draw65.8%
Either team wins80.0%
Draw no bet: Mansfield Town42.8%
Draw no bet: Luton57.2%
Mansfield Town win to nil9.1%
Luton win to nil12.9%
Team goals
Mansfield Town to score85.5%
Luton to score89.3%
Mansfield Town over 1.5 goals57.5%
Luton over 1.5 goals65.5%
Mansfield Town clean sheet10.7%
Luton clean sheet14.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

Mansfield Town: 3-4-2-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Mansfield Town vs Luton
Head to Head

Head to Head

Mansfield Town vs Luton: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 18, 2026Mansfield Town2 - 2Luton
October 18, 2025Luton0 - 2Mansfield Town
League Table

League Table

League OneEngland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1431093+610
24301115+69
3321072+57
4421176+17
5320194+56
6420295+46
7320185+36
8413065+16
942024406
10412143+15
11311132+14
1231114404
13311156-14
143111810-24
15411246-24
16311113-24
17411227-54
184112413-94
1930303303
20403145-13
21403145-13
22402249-52
23201134-11
24300326-40
Relegation
League One - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Huddersfield431093610
2Sheffield Wednesday430111569
3Blackpool32107257
4Cambridge United42117617
5Stockport County32019456
6Leyton Orient42029546
7Mansfield Town32018536
8Notts County41306516
9Bradford42024406
10Leicester41214315
11Barnsley31113214
12Burton Albion31114404
13Oxford United311156-14
14Luton3111810-24
15Plymouth411246-24
16AFC Wimbledon311113-24
17Peterborough411227-54
18Bromley4112413-94
19Milton Keynes Dons30303303
20Doncaster403145-13
21Stevenage403145-13
22Wycombe402249-52
23Reading201134-11
24Wigan300326-40