Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad Prediction - August 30, 2026

EliteserienNorwayFull time
Lillestrom
1:4
Fredrikstad
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.50Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.73price rising, opened at 1.68
Draw4.04price falling, opened at 4.12
Away4.42price falling, opened at 4.62

Market move since Aug 27. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.15
Under 1.54.20
Over 2.51.66
Under 2.52.23
Over 3.52.59
Under 3.51.48
Both teams to score
Yes1.61price falling, opened at 1.63
No2.18price rising, opened at 2.14
Odd/Even
Odd1.84
Even1.84
Handicap
Home -0.751.83price rising, opened at 1.78
Away +0.751.83price falling, opened at 1.89

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Fredrikstad are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Fredrikstad defence rating 6.5 meets a Lillestrom attack rating of 6.4.
  • Counter signalLillestrom and Fredrikstad average 4.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-016.2%Projected
  2. 1-112.5%Alternative
  3. 0-012.1%
  4. 2-010.8%
  5. 0-19.4%

Top five combined: 61.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeLillestromxG1.34
AwayFredrikstadxG0.78
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
12%
16%
11%
4.8%
1.6%
0.4%
0.1%
1
9.4%
13%
8.4%
3.7%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
2
3.6%
4.9%
3.2%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
3
0.9%
1.3%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 39.8%60.2% No
Over 1.5 62.3%37.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 35.4%64.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 16.4%83.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Lillestrom win and over 2.5 goals23.0%
Lillestrom win and both teams score16.1%
Fredrikstad win and over 2.5 goals8.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals24.6%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Lillestrom or draw78.3%
Fredrikstad or draw50.0%
Either team wins71.7%
Draw no bet: Lillestrom69.7%
Draw no bet: Fredrikstad30.3%
Lillestrom win to nil34.0%
Fredrikstad win to nil14.2%
Team goals
Lillestrom to score73.7%
Fredrikstad to score53.9%
Lillestrom over 1.5 goals38.6%
Fredrikstad over 1.5 goals18.2%
Lillestrom clean sheet46.1%
Fredrikstad clean sheet26.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

Lillestrom: 4-1-4-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad
Head to Head

Head to Head

Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
July 11, 2026Fredrikstad0 - 2Lillestrom
January 31, 2026Lillestrom2 - 2Fredrikstad
March 22, 2025Fredrikstad1 - 0Lillestrom
League Table

League Table

EliteserienNorway · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
11814224714+3344
21814134218+2443
31810533420+1435
31610423217+1534
4189363629+730
5188283627+926
6188282425-126
7156451819-122
7188282228-626
8187382726+124
9186572023-323
10186572632-623
11186393138-721
12185491523-819
13185492031-1119
141844101729-1216
15182972843-1515
161834112039-1913
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Eliteserien - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Bodo/Glimt18142247143344WWWWW
2Viking18141342182443WDWWL
3Tromso18105334201435WWWDD
3Tromsø IL16104232171534
4Molde189363629730DWLDW
5Brann188283627926WLWWL
6Lillestrom188282425-126LLWWL
7Sarpsborg 08 FF156451819-122DWDWW
7Fredrikstad188282228-626WLLLW
8Rosenborg187382726124LWWWD
9Sarpsborg 08186572023-323
10Ham-Kam186572632-623WLLLD
11Valerenga186393138-721LWWLW
12Sandefjord185491523-819LLLDL
13KFUM Oslo185492031-1119WLLLD
14Kristiansund BK1844101729-1216LLDLL
15Aalesund182972843-1515LDLDD
16Start1834112039-1913LWLLL