Emelec vs Leones del Norte Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.20Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.85

Draw3.21

Away4.56

Market move since Aug 27. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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Total goals

Over 1.51.41

Under 1.52.59

Over 2.52.36

Under 2.51.55

Over 3.54.34

Under 3.51.16

Both teams to score

Yes2.09

No1.65

Odd/Even

Odd1.87

Even1.79

Handicap

Home -0.752.07

Away +0.751.66

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Emelec vs Leones del Norte?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Emelec are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Aug 27, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

Emelec and Leones del Norte average 2.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-113.0%Projected
1-011.9%Alternative
0-19.9%
0-09.1%
2-18.5%

Top five combined: 52.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeEmelecxG1.31

AwayLeones del NortexG1.09

9.1%

12%

7.8%

3.4%

1.1%

0.3%

0.1%

9.9%

13%

8.5%

3.7%

1.2%

0.3%

0.1%

5.4%

7.1%

4.6%

2.0%

0.7%

0.2%

0.0%

2.0%

2.6%

1.7%

0.7%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.5%

0.7%

0.5%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 48.5%51.5% No

Over 1.5 69.2%30.8% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 43.0%57.0% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 22.1%77.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Emelec win and over 2.5 goals21.9%

Emelec win and both teams score17.0%

Leones del Norte win and over 2.5 goals15.7%

Draw and under 2.5 goals22.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Emelec or draw69.0%

Leones del Norte or draw58.4%

Either team wins72.5%

Draw no bet: Emelec57.3%

Draw no bet: Leones del Norte42.7%

Emelec win to nil24.5%

Leones del Norte win to nil17.9%

Team goals

Emelec to score73.0%

Leones del Norte to score66.4%

Emelec over 1.5 goals37.7%

Leones del Norte over 1.5 goals29.8%

Emelec clean sheet33.6%

Leones del Norte clean sheet27.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

Team news

Expected formations

Emelec: 4-2-3-1(predicted)

Prediction, preview and head to head: Emelec vs Leones del Norte

Head to Head

Emelec vs Leones del Norte: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
May 3, 2026	Leones del Norte	2 - 0	Emelec

League Table

Liga ProEcuador · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	27	22	2	3	66	28	+38	68
2	Macara	28	14	6	8	39	30	+9	48
3	Aucas	27	14	5	8	31	26	+5	47
4	Universidad Catolica	27	12	8	7	47	25	+22	44
5	LDU de Quito	28	12	6	10	27	22	+5	42
6	Barcelona SC	27	10	9	8	28	22	+6	39
7	Mushuc Runa SC	28	9	10	9	33	34	-1	37
9	Guayaquil City FC	27	9	9	9	27	30	-3	36
9	Libertad	23	8	6	9	24	26	-2	30
10	Leones del Norte	27	9	8	10	29	30	-1	35
11	Emelec	27	9	8	10	23	32	-9	32
12	Deportivo Cuenca	27	9	5	13	23	35	-12	32
13	Orense SC	27	8	6	13	31	41	-10	30
14	Tecnico Universitario	28	9	2	17	26	39	-13	29
15	Delfin SC	28	7	6	15	18	29	-11	27
16	Manta FC	28	5	5	18	17	41	-24	20

Relegation

Liga Pro - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Independiente del Valle	27	22	2	3	66	28	38	68	WWWWW
2	Macara	28	14	6	8	39	30	9	48	WWWLW
3	Aucas	27	14	5	8	31	26	5	47	WLLWL
4	Universidad Catolica	27	12	8	7	47	25	22	44	WDWWW
5	LDU de Quito	28	12	6	10	27	22	5	42	WDLLD
6	Barcelona SC	27	10	9	8	28	22	6	39	DLLWD
7	Mushuc Runa SC	28	9	10	9	33	34	-1	37	WLDWL
9	Guayaquil City FC	27	9	9	9	27	30	-3	36	LDDWD
9	Libertad	23	8	6	9	24	26	-2	30	WWWLW
10	Leones del Norte	27	9	8	10	29	30	-1	35	DWDWD
11	Emelec	27	9	8	10	23	32	-9	32	LLDLW
12	Deportivo Cuenca	27	9	5	13	23	35	-12	32	LWLLD
13	Orense SC	27	8	6	13	31	41	-10	30	LLWLL
14	Tecnico Universitario	28	9	2	17	26	39	-13	29	LWLLL
15	Delfin SC	28	7	6	15	18	29	-11	27	LLWWL
16	Manta FC	28	5	5	18	17	41	-24	20	LLDLL

Emelec vs Leones del Norte Prediction - August 30, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Emelec vs Leones del Norte?

Match highlights

Why this prediction

Markets to consider

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Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

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Expected formations

Head to Head

League Table