Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction - August 30, 2026

Premier DivisionIrelandFull time
Derry City
3:3
Shamrock Rovers
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.30Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.62price falling, opened at 2.64
Draw3.24price falling, opened at 3.25
Away2.62price rising, opened at 2.59

Market move since Aug 27. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.27
Under 1.53.18
Over 2.51.99price rising, opened at 1.98
Under 2.51.79price falling, opened at 1.80
Over 3.53.38price rising, opened at 3.30
Under 3.51.24price falling, opened at 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes1.73price rising, opened at 1.72
No2.00price falling, opened at 2.01
Odd/Even
Odd1.87
Even1.81
Handicap
Home +01.87price falling, opened at 1.88
Away +01.87price rising, opened at 1.86

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Derry City are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Derry City and Shamrock Rovers average 3.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.
  • Derry City defence rating 6.6 meets a Shamrock Rovers attack rating of 6.3.
  • Shamrock Rovers defence rating 6.7 meets a Derry City attack rating of 6.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.8%Projected
  2. 0-18.5%Alternative
  3. 1-28.5%
  4. 1-08.2%
  5. 2-18.2%

Top five combined: 45.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeDerry CityxG1.38
AwayShamrock RoversxG1.44
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.9%
8.2%
5.7%
2.6%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
1
8.5%
12%
8.2%
3.8%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
2
6.2%
8.5%
5.9%
2.7%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
3
3.0%
4.1%
2.8%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
4
1.1%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 57.3%42.7% No
Over 1.5 77.4%22.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 53.7%46.3% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 31.4%68.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Derry City win and over 2.5 goals22.2%
Derry City win and both teams score18.4%
Shamrock Rovers win and over 2.5 goals24.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Derry City or draw61.2%
Shamrock Rovers or draw63.9%
Either team wins74.9%
Draw no bet: Derry City48.2%
Draw no bet: Shamrock Rovers51.8%
Derry City win to nil17.7%
Shamrock Rovers win to nil19.2%
Team goals
Derry City to score74.9%
Shamrock Rovers to score76.4%
Derry City over 1.5 goals40.2%
Shamrock Rovers over 1.5 goals42.3%
Derry City clean sheet23.6%
Shamrock Rovers clean sheet25.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

Shamrock Rovers: 3-5-2(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers
Head to Head

Head to Head

Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
June 22, 2026Shamrock Rovers1 - 1Derry City
April 24, 2026Derry City1 - 0Shamrock Rovers
March 6, 2026Shamrock Rovers1 - 0Derry City
October 26, 2025Derry City2 - 1Shamrock Rovers
August 3, 2025Shamrock Rovers2 - 0Derry City
League Table

League Table

Premier DivisionIreland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12816754627+1955
22914874525+2050
32914875034+1650
429101094645+140
52781183739-235
62971394140+134
728810103642-634
829711113948-932
929610133348-1528
102958162348-2523
Relegation
Premier Division - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Shamrock Rovers28167546271955DWWDW
2St Patrick's Athl.29148745252050DDDWL
3Bohemians29148750341650DWWWL
4Dundalk29101094645140DDLLL
5Shelbourne2781183739-235LWDLD
6Derry City2971394140134DLWDL
7Galway United28810103642-634DDWLL
8Waterford29711113948-932WDDWW
9Drogheda United29610133348-1528DDWLL
10Sligo Rovers2958162348-2523DDLLD