Aurora vs Malacateco Prediction - August 30, 2026

Liga NacionalGuatemalaFull time
Aurora
1:0
Malacateco
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:2-2

Goals: Over 2.52.10Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.18price falling, opened at 2.29
Draw3.14price rising, opened at 3.10
Away3.08price rising, opened at 3.04

Market move since Aug 27. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.33price falling, opened at 1.35
Under 1.52.83price falling, opened at 2.90
Over 2.52.07price falling, opened at 2.10
Under 2.51.66price rising, opened at 1.65
Over 3.53.58price falling, opened at 3.70
Under 3.51.21price falling, opened at 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes1.82price falling, opened at 1.88
No1.85price rising, opened at 1.84
Odd/Even
Odd1.83price falling, opened at 1.94
Even1.81price falling, opened at 1.86
Handicap
Home -0.251.86price falling, opened at 1.95
Away +0.251.81price rising, opened at 1.76

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Aurora vs Malacateco?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 2-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Aurora are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Aurora and Malacateco average 3.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 2.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-17.8%Projected
  2. 2-27.1%Alternative
  3. 1-16.7%
  4. 1-26.1%
  5. 3-16.0%

Top five combined: 33.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAuroraxG2.32
AwayMalacatecoxG1.82
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.6%
3.7%
4.3%
3.3%
1.9%
0.9%
0.5%
1
2.9%
6.7%
7.8%
6.0%
3.5%
1.6%
0.9%
2
2.6%
6.1%
7.1%
5.5%
3.2%
1.5%
0.8%
3
1.6%
3.7%
4.3%
3.3%
1.9%
0.9%
0.5%
4
0.7%
1.7%
1.9%
1.5%
0.9%
0.4%
0.2%
5
0.3%
0.6%
0.7%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
6+
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 75.5%24.5% No
Over 1.5 91.8%8.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 78.2%21.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 59.3%40.7% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Aurora win and over 2.5 goals41.7%
Aurora win and both teams score35.0%
Malacateco win and over 2.5 goals25.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals8.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Aurora or draw69.5%
Malacateco or draw50.3%
Either team wins80.2%
Draw no bet: Aurora61.9%
Draw no bet: Malacateco38.1%
Aurora win to nil14.7%
Malacateco win to nil8.2%
Team goals
Aurora to score90.2%
Malacateco to score83.7%
Aurora over 1.5 goals67.5%
Malacateco over 1.5 goals54.2%
Aurora clean sheet16.3%
Malacateco clean sheet9.8%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

More Liga Nacional Predictions

78%
Comunicaciones
Municipal
Goals Over/Under: Under 3.5 @ 1.20
79%
Deportivo San Pedro
Antigua GFC
Goals Over/Under: Under 3.5 @ 1.26
View All Predictions
Prediction, preview and head to head: Aurora vs Malacateco
Head to Head

Head to Head

Malacateco
1 - 1
Aurora
March 23, 2026
Aurora
1 - 0
Malacateco
February 1, 2026
Aurora
2 - 1
Malacateco
December 10, 2025
Malacateco
1 - 0
Aurora
December 7, 2025
Malacateco
1 - 0
Aurora
November 9, 2025
Aurora vs Malacateco: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 23, 2026Malacateco1 - 1Aurora
February 1, 2026Aurora1 - 0Malacateco
December 10, 2025Aurora2 - 1Malacateco
December 7, 2025Malacateco1 - 0Aurora
November 9, 2025Malacateco1 - 0Aurora