Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Nacional Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

0-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.25Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home4.00

Draw3.24

Away1.94

Market move since Aug 28. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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Total goals

Over 1.51.34

Under 1.52.78

Over 2.52.17

Under 2.51.65

Over 3.53.82

Under 3.51.19

Both teams to score

Yes1.93

No1.78

Odd/Even

Odd1.89

Even1.81

Handicap

Home +0.252.10

Away -0.251.61

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Nacional?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Atletico Nacional are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Aug 27, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

Alianza Petrolera and Atletico Nacional average 3.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books

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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

0-114.7%Projected
1-113.3%Alternative
0-012.4%
1-011.2%
0-28.7%

Top five combined: 60.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAlianza PetroleraxG0.90

AwayAtletico NacionalxG1.18

12%

11%

5.0%

1.5%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

15%

13%

6.0%

1.8%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

8.7%

7.9%

3.5%

1.1%

0.2%

0.0%

3.4%

3.1%

1.4%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

1.0%

0.9%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 41.2%58.8% No

Over 1.5 61.7%38.3% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 34.7%65.3% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 15.9%84.1% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Alianza Petrolera win and over 2.5 goals11.7%

Alianza Petrolera win and both teams score9.7%

Atletico Nacional win and over 2.5 goals19.0%

Draw and under 2.5 goals25.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Alianza Petrolera or draw57.6%

Atletico Nacional or draw72.1%

Either team wins70.3%

Draw no bet: Alianza Petrolera39.7%

Draw no bet: Atletico Nacional60.3%

Alianza Petrolera win to nil18.2%

Atletico Nacional win to nil28.2%

Team goals

Alianza Petrolera to score59.4%

Atletico Nacional to score69.4%

Alianza Petrolera over 1.5 goals22.8%

Atletico Nacional over 1.5 goals33.2%

Alianza Petrolera clean sheet30.6%

Atletico Nacional clean sheet40.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

Prediction, preview and head to head: Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Nacional

League Table

Primera AColombia · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35	15	+20	40
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31	24	+7	35
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29	25	+4	34
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	25	15	+10	33
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31	22	+9	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27	17	+10	31
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29	22	+7	29
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	26	26	0	28
8	La Equidad FC	19	7	7	5	26	26	0	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	20	16	+4	27
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31	23	+8	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26	24	+2	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20	25	-5	26
12	Rionegro Aguilas	19	7	5	7	20	25	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26	20	+6	23
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17	20	-3	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	-5	22
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20	33	-13	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13	27	-14	17
17	Alianza Petrolera	19	3	8	8	13	27	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15	32	-17	17
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22	35	-13	16
19	Cúcuta Deportivo	19	3	7	9	22	35	-13	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15	32	-17	10

Primera A - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35	15	20	40	WWLWW
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31	24	7	35	LLLWW
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29	25	4	34	LLLLL
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	25	15	10	33	WWLDW
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31	22	9	33	DWDLW
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27	17	10	31	WWLLW
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29	22	7	29	DLLDW
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	26	26	0	28	LLLLW
8	La Equidad FC	19	7	7	5	26	26	0	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	20	16	4	27	LWDWL
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31	23	8	26	WLDWL
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26	24	2	26	WWLWW
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20	25	-5	26	WWWDL
12	Rionegro Aguilas	19	7	5	7	20	25	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26	20	6	23	DWLDL
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17	20	-3	22	DWLDL
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	-5	22	DDWLL
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20	33	-13	18	LLWDL
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13	27	-14	17	LDDDL
17	Alianza Petrolera	19	3	8	8	13	27	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15	32	-17	17	LWLLW
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22	35	-13	16	LLDLW
19	Cúcuta Deportivo	19	3	7	9	22	35	-13	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15	32	-17	10	DLLWL

Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Nacional Prediction - August 30, 2026

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What is the prediction for Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Nacional?

Why this prediction

Markets to consider

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Scoreline Depth

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Correlated combos

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