Uruguay Montevideo vs La Luz Prediction - August 29, 2026

Segunda DivisiónUruguayFull time
Uruguay Montevideo
0:0
La Luz
Projected scoreOur pick
0-0

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 2.51.54Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.84
Draw2.81
Away2.47

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.49
Under 1.52.41
Over 2.52.49
Under 2.51.42
Over 3.55.05
Under 3.51.10
Both teams to score
Yes2.06
No1.65
Odd/Even
Odd1.88
Even1.76
Handicap
Home +01.97
Away +01.72

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Uruguay Montevideo vs La Luz?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 0, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Uruguay Montevideo are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Uruguay Montevideo and La Luz average 1.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 2.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-019.7%Projected
  2. 1-016.0%Alternative
  3. 0-115.9%
  4. 1-113.0%
  5. 2-06.5%

Top five combined: 71.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeUruguay MontevideoxG0.82
AwayLa LuzxG0.81
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
20%
16%
6.5%
1.8%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
1
16%
13%
5.3%
1.4%
0.3%
0.0%
0.0%
2
6.5%
5.3%
2.1%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
3
1.7%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 31.0%69.0% No
Over 1.5 48.3%51.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 22.3%77.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 8.2%91.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Uruguay Montevideo win and over 2.5 goals10.1%
Uruguay Montevideo win and both teams score7.9%
La Luz win and over 2.5 goals10.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals32.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Uruguay Montevideo or draw67.6%
La Luz or draw67.4%
Either team wins65.0%
Draw no bet: Uruguay Montevideo50.2%
Draw no bet: La Luz49.8%
Uruguay Montevideo win to nil24.8%
La Luz win to nil24.6%
Team goals
Uruguay Montevideo to score55.8%
La Luz to score55.5%
Uruguay Montevideo over 1.5 goals19.7%
La Luz over 1.5 goals19.5%
Uruguay Montevideo clean sheet44.5%
La Luz clean sheet44.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Uruguay Montevideo vs La Luz
Head to Head

Head to Head

Uruguay Montevideo vs La Luz: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 24, 2026La Luz2 - 0Uruguay Montevideo
April 11, 2026La Luz0 - 2Uruguay Montevideo
October 11, 2025Uruguay Montevideo0 - 0La Luz
July 19, 2025La Luz1 - 0Uruguay Montevideo
League Table

League Table

Segunda DivisiónUruguay · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1641185+313
2633092+712
36321137+611
4624096+310
5623185+39
6623175+29
7623165+19
7623165+19
862318809
9614156-17
10612337-45
11611447-34
126114511-64
136114613-74
14603359-43
Segunda División - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Oriental641185313LWWWD
2Plaza Colonia633092712WDDWW
3Fenix6321137611WLWWD
4Sportivo Huracan624096310DWWDD
5Colón62318539DWDLD
6Uruguay Montevideo62317529DWLWD
7Rentistas62316519DLWWD
7Rentistas Montevideo62316519
8Cerrito62318809DDLWD
9La Luz614156-17DLWDD
10Miramar612337-45DDLWL
11Paysandu611447-34LDLLW
12Atenas6114511-64LWLLL
13CA River Plate6114613-74WLLLD
14Tacuarembo603359-43DLLLD