Tukums vs FS Jelgava Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.37Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.71

Draw3.54

Away2.40

Market move since Aug 26. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.19

Under 1.54.33

Over 2.51.74

Under 2.52.10

Over 3.52.65

Under 3.51.45

Both teams to score

Yes1.59

No2.27

Odd/Even

Odd1.93

Even1.82

Handicap

Home +02.05

Away +01.77

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Tukums vs FS Jelgava?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: FS Jelgava are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Aug 26, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

Tukums and FS Jelgava average 2.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books

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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-112.9%Projected
1-010.8%Alternative
0-110.3%
0-08.6%
2-18.1%

Top five combined: 50.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeTukumsxG1.25

AwayFS JelgavaxG1.20

8.6%

11%

6.8%

2.8%

0.9%

0.2%

0.1%

10%

13%

8.1%

3.4%

1.1%

0.3%

0.1%

6.2%

7.8%

4.9%

2.0%

0.6%

0.2%

0.0%

2.5%

3.1%

1.9%

0.8%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

0.7%

0.9%

0.6%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 49.8%50.2% No

Over 1.5 70.2%29.8% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 44.3%55.7% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 23.2%76.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Tukums win and over 2.5 goals20.1%

Tukums win and both teams score16.1%

FS Jelgava win and over 2.5 goals18.5%

Draw and under 2.5 goals21.6%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Tukums or draw65.0%

FS Jelgava or draw62.4%

Either team wins72.7%

Draw no bet: Tukums51.8%

Draw no bet: FS Jelgava48.2%

Tukums win to nil21.6%

FS Jelgava win to nil20.0%

Team goals

Tukums to score71.4%

FS Jelgava to score69.8%

Tukums over 1.5 goals35.6%

FS Jelgava over 1.5 goals33.6%

Tukums clean sheet30.2%

FS Jelgava clean sheet28.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

Prediction, preview and head to head: Tukums vs FS Jelgava

Head to Head

Tukums vs FS Jelgava: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
June 21, 2026	FS Jelgava	4 - 1	Tukums
May 1, 2026	Tukums	5 - 0	FS Jelgava
March 8, 2026	FS Jelgava	2 - 1	Tukums
November 9, 2025	Tukums	1 - 1	FS Jelgava
August 23, 2025	FS Jelgava	1 - 1	Tukums

League Table

VirsligaLatvia · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Rīgas FS	26	21	3	2	65	20	+45	66
2	Riga	26	20	5	1	79	24	+55	65
3	Auda	27	16	5	6	44	27	+17	53
4	BFC Daugavpils	28	10	7	11	33	32	+1	37
5	FK Liepaja	27	11	4	12	36	39	-3	37
6	FS Jelgava	28	8	7	13	32	47	-15	31
7	Super Nova	26	8	5	13	27	38	-11	29
8	Grobiņa	28	5	9	14	20	50	-30	24
9	Tukums	28	4	8	16	41	58	-17	20
10	Ogre United	26	3	5	18	26	68	-42	14

Virsliga - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Rīgas FS	26	21	3	2	65	20	45	66	WWDWW
2	Riga	26	20	5	1	79	24	55	65	WWWWD
3	Auda	27	16	5	6	44	27	17	53	WDLDW
4	BFC Daugavpils	28	10	7	11	33	32	1	37	WLWWL
5	FK Liepaja	27	11	4	12	36	39	-3	37	LWLWL
6	FS Jelgava	28	8	7	13	32	47	-15	31	LLLLW
7	Super Nova	26	8	5	13	27	38	-11	29	WLWLL
8	Grobiņa	28	5	9	14	20	50	-30	24	LDLWL
9	Tukums	28	4	8	16	41	58	-17	20	WLLLL
10	Ogre United	26	3	5	18	26	68	-42	14	DLWLW

Tukums vs FS Jelgava Prediction - August 29, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Tukums vs FS Jelgava?

Why this prediction

Markets to consider

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Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

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Correlated combos

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Head to Head

League Table