Polonia Warszawa vs Lechia Gdansk Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.60Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.95

Draw3.80

Away3.39

Market move since Aug 26. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.15

Under 1.55.00

Over 2.51.54

Under 2.52.38

Over 3.52.40

Under 3.51.53

Both teams to score

Yes1.50

No2.50

Odd/Even

Odd1.87

Even1.87

Handicap

Home -0.251.74

Away +0.252.10

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Polonia Warszawa vs Lechia Gdansk?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Lechia Gdansk are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Aug 26, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

Polonia Warszawa and Lechia Gdansk average 3.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books

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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-012.2%Projected
2-012.1%
1-19.8%Alternative
2-19.7%
3-08.0%

Top five combined: 51.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomePolonia WarszawaxG1.99

AwayLechia GdanskxG0.81

6.1%

12%

8.0%

4.0%

1.6%

0.7%

4.9%

9.8%

9.7%

6.5%

3.2%

1.3%

0.6%

2.0%

3.9%

2.6%

1.3%

0.5%

0.2%

0.5%

1.1%

0.7%

0.3%

0.1%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 47.8%52.2% No

Over 1.5 76.8%23.2% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 52.9%47.1% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 30.7%69.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Polonia Warszawa win and over 2.5 goals40.8%

Polonia Warszawa win and both teams score26.5%

Lechia Gdansk win and over 2.5 goals7.4%

Draw and under 2.5 goals15.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Polonia Warszawa or draw85.7%

Lechia Gdansk or draw34.9%

Either team wins79.4%

Draw no bet: Polonia Warszawa82.0%

Draw no bet: Lechia Gdansk18.0%

Polonia Warszawa win to nil38.5%

Lechia Gdansk win to nil7.6%

Team goals

Polonia Warszawa to score86.3%

Lechia Gdansk to score55.3%

Polonia Warszawa over 1.5 goals59.1%

Lechia Gdansk over 1.5 goals19.3%

Polonia Warszawa clean sheet44.7%

Lechia Gdansk clean sheet13.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

Team news

Confirmed formations

Polonia Warszawa: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)Lechia Gdansk: 4-4-2(confirmed lineup)

Prediction, preview and head to head: Polonia Warszawa vs Lechia Gdansk

League Table

I LigaPoland · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Miedz Legnica	6	4	1	1	10	3	+7	13
2	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	6	3	3	0	10	5	+5	12
3	ŁKS Łódź	6	3	2	1	10	5	+5	11
4	Chrobry Głogów	6	3	1	2	10	5	+5	10
5	Arka Gdynia	6	3	1	2	9	5	+4	10
6	Polonia Warszawa	6	3	1	2	10	8	+2	10
7	Warta Poznań	6	3	0	3	11	10	+1	9
8	Pogoń Siedlce	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
9	Odra Opole	6	2	2	2	6	6	0	8
10	Stal Mielec	6	2	2	2	11	13	-2	8
11	Nieciecza	6	2	1	3	9	10	-1	7
12	Lechia Gdansk	6	2	1	3	7	11	-4	7
12	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2	0	2	0	4	4	0	2
13	Ruch Chorzów	6	2	1	3	3	7	-4	7
14	Puszcza Niepołomice	6	2	0	4	5	7	-2	6
15	Polonia Bytom	6	1	3	2	12	15	-3	6
16	Unia Skierniewice	6	2	0	4	5	9	-4	6
17	Podbeskidzie	6	0	5	1	8	10	-2	5
18	Stal Rzeszów	6	1	2	3	4	12	-8	5

Relegation

I Liga - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Miedz Legnica	6	4	1	1	10	3	7	13	WD
2	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	6	3	3	0	10	5	5	12	WW
3	ŁKS Łódź	6	3	2	1	10	5	5	11	WD
4	Chrobry Głogów	6	3	1	2	10	5	5	10	LW
5	Arka Gdynia	6	3	1	2	9	5	4	10	WW
6	Polonia Warszawa	6	3	1	2	10	8	2	10	WW
7	Warta Poznań	6	3	0	3	11	10	1	9	WL
8	Pogoń Siedlce	6	2	2	2	7	6	1	8	LD
9	Odra Opole	6	2	2	2	6	6	0	8	WL
10	Stal Mielec	6	2	2	2	11	13	-2	8	DW
11	Nieciecza	6	2	1	3	9	10	-1	7	WW
12	Lechia Gdansk	6	2	1	3	7	11	-4	7	LL
12	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2	0	2	0	4	4	0	2
13	Ruch Chorzów	6	2	1	3	3	7	-4	7	LL
14	Puszcza Niepołomice	6	2	0	4	5	7	-2	6	LL
15	Polonia Bytom	6	1	3	2	12	15	-3	6	LW
16	Unia Skierniewice	6	2	0	4	5	9	-4	6	LL
17	Podbeskidzie	6	0	5	1	8	10	-2	5	DD
18	Stal Rzeszów	6	1	2	3	4	12	-8	5	LL