Imabari vs Montedio Yamagata Prediction - August 29, 2026

J2 LeagueJapanFull time
Imabari
0:3
Montedio Yamagata
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.50Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.26
Draw3.50
Away2.69

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.15
Under 1.54.30
Over 2.51.60
Under 2.52.19
Over 3.52.43
Under 3.51.44
Both teams to score
Yes1.50
No2.38
Odd/Even
Odd1.83
Even1.83
Handicap
Home -0.251.96
Away +0.251.72

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Imabari vs Montedio Yamagata?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Montedio Yamagata are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match analysis

Imabari's five match losing streak frames their 29 August meeting with Montedio Yamagata, where Superior's longest price of the round, 1.50 on Under 3.5 goals, still rates 75 percent. Both sides arrive on the same three days of rest, so fatigue is a level field between them.

Neither side has a rest advantage

With Imabari and Montedio both on three days since their last match, there is no recovery edge either way, which puts the focus on form: Imabari have lost five straight, shipping four or more goals in two of them, yet their overall season average still sits at a manageable 1.0 goals a game. Montedio add 1.4 of their own, for a combined 2.4 that leaves distance to this 3.5 line even with Imabari's rough run.

Imabari have shipped four or five goals twice in this run

This line loses at four total goals, and Imabari have already been on the wrong end of that twice in their losing streak, a 0-4 and a 2-3 defeat. A defence bleeding goals at this rate is the clearest reason this could go over, whatever the season-long averages suggest.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.8%Projected
  2. 0-110.2%Alternative
  3. 1-010.0%
  4. 1-28.2%
  5. 0-08.0%

Top five combined: 49.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeImabarixG1.25
AwayMontedio YamagataxG1.28
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
8.0%
10.0%
6.2%
2.6%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
1
10%
13%
7.9%
3.3%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
2
6.5%
8.2%
5.1%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
3
2.8%
3.5%
2.2%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.9%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 51.4%48.6% No
Over 1.5 71.8%28.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 46.3%53.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 24.8%75.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Imabari win and over 2.5 goals19.6%
Imabari win and both teams score16.0%
Montedio Yamagata win and over 2.5 goals20.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals20.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Imabari or draw62.6%
Montedio Yamagata or draw64.2%
Either team wins73.2%
Draw no bet: Imabari48.9%
Draw no bet: Montedio Yamagata51.1%
Imabari win to nil19.8%
Montedio Yamagata win to nil20.8%
Team goals
Imabari to score71.2%
Montedio Yamagata to score72.2%
Imabari over 1.5 goals35.4%
Montedio Yamagata over 1.5 goals36.6%
Imabari clean sheet27.8%
Montedio Yamagata clean sheet28.8%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Imabari vs Montedio Yamagata
Head to Head

Head to Head

Imabari vs Montedio Yamagata: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
November 9, 2025Montedio Yamagata2 - 1Imabari
League Table

League Table

J2 LeagueJapan · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1330083+59
2321020+27
3320182+66
4320183+56
5320152+36
6320141+36
7320143+16
8320132+16
9311142+24
1031113304
1131112204
12311145-14
13311145-14
14310246-23
15310248-43
16310227-53
17302112-12
18301214-31
19301216-51
20300339-60
Relegation
J2 League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Omiya Ardija33008359
2Shonan Bellmare32102027
3Kataller Toyama32018266
4Tochigi City32018356
5Fujieda MYFC32015236
6Montedio Yamagata32014136
7Yokohama FC32014316
8Albirex Niigata32013216
9Oita Trinita31114224
10Sagan Tosu31113304
11Vegalta Sendai31112204
12Jubilo Iwata311145-14
13Blaublitz Akita311145-14
14Consadole Sapporo310246-23
15Iwaki310248-43
16Vanraure Hachinohe310227-53
17Tegevajaro Miyazaki302112-12
18Tokushima Vortis301214-31
19Ventforet Kofu301216-51
20Imabari300339-60