Greenville Triumph vs Naples Prediction - August 29, 2026

USL League OneUSAFull time
Greenville Triumph
4:0
Naples
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:2-2

Goals: Over 2.51.68Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.18price falling, opened at 2.24
Draw3.34price falling, opened at 3.40
Away2.91price rising, opened at 2.84

Market move since Aug 28. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.19price falling, opened at 1.21
Under 1.53.80
Over 2.51.73
Under 2.51.97price falling, opened at 2.00
Over 3.52.81price rising, opened at 2.80
Under 3.51.33price falling, opened at 1.37
Both teams to score
Yes1.58price falling, opened at 1.63
No2.19price rising, opened at 2.17
Odd/Even
Odd1.83price falling, opened at 1.92
Even1.81price falling, opened at 1.88
Handicap
Home -0.251.89price falling, opened at 1.94
Away +0.251.79price rising, opened at 1.77

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Greenville Triumph vs Naples?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 2-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Naples are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Greenville Triumph and Naples average 3.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 2.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-18.0%Projected
  2. 2-27.1%Alternative
  3. 1-17.1%
  4. 1-26.2%
  5. 3-16.1%

Top five combined: 34.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeGreenville TriumphxG2.28
AwayNaplesxG1.76
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.8%
4.0%
4.6%
3.5%
2.0%
0.9%
0.5%
1
3.1%
7.1%
8.0%
6.1%
3.5%
1.6%
0.9%
2
2.7%
6.2%
7.1%
5.4%
3.1%
1.4%
0.8%
3
1.6%
3.7%
4.2%
3.2%
1.8%
0.8%
0.5%
4
0.7%
1.6%
1.8%
1.4%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
5
0.2%
0.6%
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
6+
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 74.3%25.7% No
Over 1.5 91.1%8.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 76.8%23.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 57.4%42.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Greenville Triumph win and over 2.5 goals41.2%
Greenville Triumph win and both teams score34.4%
Naples win and over 2.5 goals24.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals8.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Greenville Triumph or draw69.8%
Naples or draw50.2%
Either team wins80.0%
Draw no bet: Greenville Triumph62.2%
Draw no bet: Naples37.8%
Greenville Triumph win to nil15.4%
Naples win to nil8.5%
Team goals
Greenville Triumph to score89.7%
Naples to score82.8%
Greenville Triumph over 1.5 goals66.4%
Naples over 1.5 goals52.6%
Greenville Triumph clean sheet17.2%
Naples clean sheet10.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Greenville Triumph vs Naples
Head to Head

Head to Head

Greenville Triumph vs Naples: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
September 6, 2025Naples2 - 1Greenville Triumph
July 26, 2025Greenville Triumph2 - 1Naples
June 7, 2025Greenville Triumph1 - 1Naples
League Table

League Table

USL League OneUSA · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12315445329+2449
22414464127+1446
32313464325+1843
42211653725+1239
52112273227+538
62311573633+338
72211294135+635
8228773025+531
9237972832-430
10247893134-329
112382132739-1226
122365123435-123
132265112735-823
142458113342-923
152365122336-1323
162355132544-1920
172355132143-2220
1800000000
USL League One - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Charlotte Independence23154453292449WWLLD
2Union Omaha24144641271446WWDWL
3Forward Madison23134643251843WWWWW
4One Knoxville22116537251239LLLWW
5Spokane Velocity2112273227538WWWLL
6Boise2311573633338DLWWW
7Chattanooga Red Wolves2211294135635LWWWL
8Fort Wayne228773025531LLWLW
9Corpus Christi237972832-430DWDWL
10Alta247893134-329LDWLD
11Naples2382132739-1226LLLLL
12Westchester SC2365123435-123LDWDL
13Greenville Triumph2265112735-823DWLLD
14Portland Hearts of Pine2458113342-923DLLWW
15Sarasota Paradise2365122336-1323DDLWL
16NY Cosmos2355132544-1920LLDWL
17Richmond Kickers2355132143-2220WLLLD
18Tormenta00000000