CF Pachuca vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction - August 29, 2026

Liga MXMexicoFull time
CF Pachuca
1:1
Guadalajara Chivas
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.27Won

Bookmaker odds

Home3.20price falling, opened at 3.30
Draw3.45price falling, opened at 3.60
Away2.25price rising, opened at 2.15

Market move since Aug 27. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.27
Under 1.53.75
Over 2.51.83price rising, opened at 1.82
Under 2.51.98
Over 3.53.05
Under 3.51.38
Both teams to score
Yes1.66price falling, opened at 1.69
No2.15
Odd/Even
Odd1.89
Even1.84
Handicap
Home +0.251.89price falling, opened at 1.97
Away -0.251.91price rising, opened at 1.83
Corners
Over 8.51.74
Under 8.52.00

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for CF Pachuca vs Guadalajara Chivas?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Guadalajara Chivas are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • CF Pachuca and Guadalajara Chivas average 3.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.
  • Guadalajara Chivas attack rating 7.1 meets a CF Pachuca defence rating of 6.3.
  • Counter signalGuadalajara Chivas defence rating 6.3 meets a CF Pachuca attack rating of 6.1.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-110.1%Projected
  2. 1-29.4%Alternative
  3. 0-17.4%
  4. 0-26.9%
  5. 2-16.8%

Top five combined: 40.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCF PachucaxG1.36
AwayGuadalajara ChivasxG1.87
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.0%
5.4%
3.6%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
1
7.4%
10%
6.8%
3.1%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
2
6.9%
9.4%
6.4%
2.9%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
3
4.3%
5.9%
4.0%
1.8%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
4
2.0%
2.8%
1.9%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.8%
1.0%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 62.8%37.2% No
Over 1.5 83.3%16.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 62.6%37.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 40.4%59.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

CF Pachuca win and over 2.5 goals18.8%
CF Pachuca win and both teams score16.4%
Guadalajara Chivas win and over 2.5 goals35.3%
Draw and under 2.5 goals14.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
CF Pachuca or draw50.4%
Guadalajara Chivas or draw72.2%
Either team wins77.5%
Draw no bet: CF Pachuca35.9%
Draw no bet: Guadalajara Chivas64.1%
CF Pachuca win to nil11.4%
Guadalajara Chivas win to nil21.8%
Team goals
CF Pachuca to score74.2%
Guadalajara Chivas to score84.6%
CF Pachuca over 1.5 goals39.3%
Guadalajara Chivas over 1.5 goals55.9%
CF Pachuca clean sheet15.4%
Guadalajara Chivas clean sheet25.8%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

Guadalajara Chivas: 3-1-4-2(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: CF Pachuca vs Guadalajara Chivas
Head to Head

Head to Head

CF Pachuca vs Guadalajara Chivas: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
November 3, 2025Pachuca0 - 1Guadalajara Chivas
League Table

League Table

Liga MXMexico · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
15410102+813
26411107+313
3540185+312
4531184+410
5531185+310
6531197+210
7631286+210
85302127+59
96303111109
1062228808
1152126607
126213811-37
13613268-26
1451137704
155113810-24
16503259-43
175005411-70
185005315-120
Liga MX - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Club America5410102813WDW
2Club Tijuana6411107313DWW
3Atlas540185312LWW
4Toluca531184410WLW
5Guadalajara Chivas531185310DWL
6Puebla531197210DLW
7Leon631286210WLL
8Monterrey530212759WLW
9Cruz Azul6303111109LWW
10U.N.A.M. - Pumas62228808WWL
11Club Queretaro52126607WWL
12Necaxa6213811-37LWW
13Atlante FC613268-26WDL
14CF Pachuca51137704LLW
15Tigres UANL5113810-24LDL
16Atletico San Luis503259-43DDL
17Santos Laguna5005411-70LLL
18FC Juarez5005315-120LLL