Al Kholood vs Al-Ahli Saudi Prediction - August 29, 2026

Pro LeagueSaudi-ArabiaFull time
Al Kholood
3:1
Al-Ahli Saudi
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.46Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home8.05
Draw5.16
Away1.33

This line has not moved since it opened on Aug 27.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.15
Under 1.54.20price falling, opened at 4.25
Over 2.51.65price rising, opened at 1.64
Under 2.52.16price falling, opened at 2.18
Over 3.52.56price rising, opened at 2.52
Under 3.51.40price falling, opened at 1.41
Both teams to score
Yes1.89price rising, opened at 1.88
No1.80price falling, opened at 1.81
Odd/Even
Odd1.82
Even1.84
Handicap
Home +1.251.96
Away -1.251.79

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Al Kholood vs Al-Ahli Saudi?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match analysis

Al Kholood have played four matches in the last 14 days, a heavy schedule heading into their 29 August meeting with Al-Ahli Saudi, for which Superior projects a 1-1 draw rated 77 percent. Al-Ahli also arrive on a short two day turnaround of their own, and average 2.4 goals a game, the highest number in this matchup.

Al Kholood have played four matches in two weeks

A four-match stretch inside 14 days, with only two days to recover before this one, is a heavy load for Al Kholood, and it comes against an Al-Ahli side averaging 2.4 goals a game, the highest number in this matchup. Al-Ahli also arrive on a short two day turnaround of their own, which is part of why Superior's projection settles on a shared point rather than a win for the fresher-looking attack.

Al-Ahli have won three matches in a row

The clearest way this scoreline misses is an Al-Ahli win instead of a draw: they have won three straight matches, including a 4-0 result on 22 August, and that run outweighs a shared point on current form. Al Kholood's own fixture pile-up, four matches in two weeks, is the bigger risk to their side of a 1-1 finish.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-113.0%Projected
  2. 0-111.1%Alternative
  3. 1-010.5%
  4. 0-09.0%
  5. 1-28.1%

Top five combined: 51.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAl KholoodxG1.18
AwayAl-Ahli SaudixG1.24
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
9.0%
11%
6.2%
2.4%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
1
11%
13%
7.7%
3.0%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
2
6.9%
8.1%
4.7%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
3
2.8%
3.3%
2.0%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.9%
1.0%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.2%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 49.0%51.0% No
Over 1.5 69.4%30.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 43.3%56.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 22.4%77.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Al Kholood win and over 2.5 goals18.0%
Al Kholood win and both teams score14.7%
Al-Ahli Saudi win and over 2.5 goals19.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals22.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Al Kholood or draw62.3%
Al-Ahli Saudi or draw65.3%
Either team wins72.4%
Draw no bet: Al Kholood48.0%
Draw no bet: Al-Ahli Saudi52.0%
Al Kholood win to nil20.1%
Al-Ahli Saudi win to nil21.9%
Team goals
Al Kholood to score69.1%
Al-Ahli Saudi to score71.0%
Al Kholood over 1.5 goals32.8%
Al-Ahli Saudi over 1.5 goals35.1%
Al Kholood clean sheet29.0%
Al-Ahli Saudi clean sheet30.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
League Table

League Table

Pro LeagueSaudi-Arabia · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
100000000
24400123+912
3430183+59
45230107+39
600000000
6422053+28
700000000
7421152+37
842026606
9420278-16
10512269-35
1100000000
11411256-14
124112611-54
13403157-23
14503229-73
1500000000
15402235-22
16402215-42
174013410-61
184013410-61
Champions LeagueRelegation
Pro League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC00000000
2Al-Nassr4400123912
3Al-Qadisiyah FC43018359
4Al Kholood523010739
6Al-Ahli Jeddah00000000
6Al-Ittihad FC42205328
7Al-Hazm00000000
7Al Diriyah42115237
8Al-Ahli Saudi42026606
9Al-Ettifaq420278-16
10Al-Fayha512269-35
11Al Taawon00000000
11Al-Hazem411256-14
12Al Riyadh4112611-54
13Al Shabab403157-23
14Al Khaleej Saihat503229-73
15NEOM00000000
15Al Taawoun FC402235-22
16Al-Fateh402215-42
17Abha4013410-61
18Al-Faisaly FC4013410-61