Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Nieciecza Prediction - August 28, 2026

I LigaPolandFull time
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2:2
Nieciecza
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.23Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.50price falling, opened at 2.53
Draw3.47price rising, opened at 3.45
Away2.63price rising, opened at 2.35

Market move since Aug 25. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.15price falling, opened at 1.18
Under 1.55.00price rising, opened at 3.84
Over 2.51.60price falling, opened at 1.68
Under 2.52.25price rising, opened at 2.06
Over 3.52.40price falling, opened at 2.63
Under 3.51.53price rising, opened at 1.38
Both teams to score
Yes1.50price falling, opened at 1.56
No2.50price rising, opened at 2.25
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.83
Even1.82price falling, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home +01.90
Away +01.90price rising, opened at 1.77

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Nieciecza?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Why this prediction

  • Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki and Nieciecza average 3.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-110.8%Projected
  2. 2-18.9%Alternative
  3. 1-27.8%
  4. 1-07.4%
  5. 0-16.5%

Top five combined: 41.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomePogoń Grod. MazowieckixG1.65
AwayNiecieczaxG1.46
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.5%
7.4%
6.1%
3.4%
1.4%
0.5%
0.2%
1
6.5%
11%
8.9%
4.9%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
2
4.7%
7.8%
6.5%
3.6%
1.5%
0.5%
0.2%
3
2.3%
3.8%
3.1%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.8%
1.4%
1.1%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.2%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 62.0%38.0% No
Over 1.5 81.6%18.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 60.0%40.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 37.7%62.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win and over 2.5 goals28.9%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win and both teams score23.5%
Nieciecza win and over 2.5 goals22.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals15.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki or draw66.1%
Nieciecza or draw57.6%
Either team wins76.3%
Draw no bet: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki55.6%
Draw no bet: Nieciecza44.4%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win to nil18.9%
Nieciecza win to nil14.7%
Team goals
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to score80.8%
Nieciecza to score76.7%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over 1.5 goals49.1%
Nieciecza over 1.5 goals42.7%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki clean sheet23.3%
Nieciecza clean sheet19.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Premium

Premium

Predictions stay free. Premium adds the extras below, on football and basketball.

  • Match highlightsVideo highlights for football and basketball games, on the match page as soon as we find them.
  • Scoreline DepthExplore the complete score distribution, the five most likely scorelines with probabilities and their cumulative probability.
  • Market Probability ViewCompare model probabilities for BTTS and the main goal lines in one view.
  • Full Market BoardCheck correlated combos such as home win with over 2.5, plus double chance, draw no bet, win to nil and team goals in one board.
  • Custom Acca BuilderUnlimited builds to a target odd, with reshuffle. Free users get 1 build per day.

No automatic renewal.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Nieciecza
League Table

League Table

I LigaPoland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
16411103+713
26330105+512
36321105+511
46312105+510
5631295+410
66312108+210
763031110+19
8622276+18
962226608
1062221113-28
116213910-17
126213711-47
1220204402
13621337-47
14620457-26
1561321215-36
16620459-46
176051810-25
186123412-85
Relegation
I Liga - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Miedz Legnica6411103713WD
2Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki6330105512WW
3ŁKS Łódź6321105511WD
4Chrobry Głogów6312105510LW
5Arka Gdynia631295410WW
6Polonia Warszawa6312108210WW
7Warta Poznań6303111019WL
8Pogoń Siedlce62227618LD
9Odra Opole62226608WL
10Stal Mielec62221113-28DW
11Nieciecza6213910-17WW
12Lechia Gdansk6213711-47LL
12Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała20204402
13Ruch Chorzów621337-47LL
14Puszcza Niepołomice620457-26LL
15Polonia Bytom61321215-36LW
16Unia Skierniewice620459-46LL
17Podbeskidzie6051810-25DD
18Stal Rzeszów6123412-85LL