Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Yarud Mariupol' Prediction - August 28, 2026

Persha LigaUkraineFull time
Lokomotiv Kyiv
1:3
Yarud Mariupol'
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:0-0

Goals: Under 3.51.21Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.80price rising, opened at 2.68
Draw3.22price rising, opened at 3.14
Away2.49price rising, opened at 2.38

Market move since Aug 28. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.40price rising, opened at 1.31
Under 1.52.97price rising, opened at 2.92
Over 2.52.21price rising, opened at 2.04
Under 2.51.67price falling, opened at 1.68
Over 3.53.78price rising, opened at 3.58
Under 3.51.27price rising, opened at 1.21
Both teams to score
Yes1.86price rising, opened at 1.79
No1.83price falling, opened at 1.88
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.83
Even1.82price rising, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home +02.05price rising, opened at 1.96
Away +01.77price rising, opened at 1.73

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Yarud Mariupol'?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 0-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Yarud Mariupol' are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Lokomotiv Kyiv and Yarud Mariupol' average 2.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-021.8%Projected
  2. 0-018.6%Alternative
  3. 2-012.8%
  4. 1-111.1%
  5. 0-19.5%

Top five combined: 73.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeLokomotiv KyivxG1.17
AwayYarud Mariupol'xG0.51
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
19%
22%
13%
5.0%
1.5%
0.3%
0.1%
1
9.5%
11%
6.5%
2.5%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
2
2.4%
2.8%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
3
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 27.5%72.5% No
Over 1.5 50.1%49.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 23.8%76.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 9.0%91.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Lokomotiv Kyiv win and over 2.5 goals17.8%
Lokomotiv Kyiv win and both teams score10.9%
Yarud Mariupol' win and over 2.5 goals4.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals29.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Lokomotiv Kyiv or draw83.9%
Yarud Mariupol' or draw47.6%
Either team wins68.5%
Draw no bet: Lokomotiv Kyiv76.6%
Draw no bet: Yarud Mariupol'23.4%
Lokomotiv Kyiv win to nil41.5%
Yarud Mariupol' win to nil12.3%
Team goals
Lokomotiv Kyiv to score69.0%
Yarud Mariupol' to score39.9%
Lokomotiv Kyiv over 1.5 goals32.7%
Yarud Mariupol' over 1.5 goals9.3%
Lokomotiv Kyiv clean sheet60.1%
Yarud Mariupol' clean sheet31.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Yarud Mariupol'
League Table

League Table

Persha LigaUkraine · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1550091+815
2532081+711
35320115+611
45311116+510
5521286+27
652126607
7521279-27
8521259-47
951318806
1051315506
11520368-26
12504156-14
13503247-33
14510438-53
15502369-32
165023412-82
Relegation
Persha Liga - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Viktoriya Mykolaivka550091815WW
2SK Poltava532081711DW
3Oleksandria5320115611DD
4Kulykiv5311116510DW
5Prykarpattia52128627DL
6Metal Kharkiv52126607WL
7Inhulets521279-27WD
8Ahrobiznes Volochysk521259-47WL
9UCSA51318806DD
10Nyva Ternopil51315506DD
11Yarud Mariupol'520368-26LL
12Chernihiv504156-14DD
13Lokomotiv Kyiv503247-33DD
14Kolos Kovalivka II510438-53LW
15Polissya II502369-32LD
16Probiy Horodenka5023412-82LD