Kerry vs Treaty United Prediction - August 28, 2026

First DivisionIrelandFull time
Kerry
3:1
Treaty United
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.35Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.90price falling, opened at 1.98
Draw3.40price rising, opened at 3.34
Away3.58price rising, opened at 3.40

Market move since Aug 25. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.25price falling, opened at 1.26
Under 1.53.28price rising, opened at 3.20
Over 2.51.86price falling, opened at 1.89
Under 2.51.84price rising, opened at 1.81
Over 3.53.05price falling, opened at 3.14
Under 3.51.28price rising, opened at 1.27
Both teams to score
Yes1.73price falling, opened at 1.74
No1.98price rising, opened at 1.96
Odd/Even
Odd1.83
Even1.83
Handicap
Home -0.251.65price falling, opened at 1.71
Away +0.252.06price rising, opened at 1.97

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Kerry vs Treaty United?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Kerry are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Kerry and Treaty United average 2.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-19.1%Projected
  2. 1-19.0%Alternative
  3. 2-26.8%
  4. 1-26.6%
  5. 3-16.2%

Top five combined: 37.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeKerryxG2.03
AwayTreaty UnitedxG1.48
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.0%
6.0%
6.1%
4.2%
2.1%
0.9%
0.4%
1
4.4%
9.0%
9.1%
6.2%
3.1%
1.3%
0.6%
2
3.3%
6.6%
6.8%
4.6%
2.3%
0.9%
0.4%
3
1.6%
3.3%
3.3%
2.3%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.6%
1.2%
1.2%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
5
0.2%
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 67.2%32.8% No
Over 1.5 86.6%13.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 68.2%31.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 46.7%53.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Kerry win and over 2.5 goals38.2%
Kerry win and both teams score30.7%
Treaty United win and over 2.5 goals20.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals11.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Kerry or draw71.8%
Treaty United or draw49.6%
Either team wins78.6%
Draw no bet: Kerry64.1%
Draw no bet: Treaty United35.9%
Kerry win to nil19.7%
Treaty United win to nil10.1%
Team goals
Kerry to score86.9%
Treaty United to score77.3%
Kerry over 1.5 goals60.3%
Treaty United over 1.5 goals43.7%
Kerry clean sheet22.7%
Treaty United clean sheet13.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Kerry vs Treaty United
Head to Head

Head to Head

Kerry vs Treaty United: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
July 3, 2026Treaty United2 - 1Kerry
April 17, 2026Kerry1 - 1Treaty United
March 6, 2026Treaty United2 - 2Kerry
January 13, 2026Kerry2 - 4Treaty United
September 26, 2025Kerry1 - 1Treaty United
League Table

League Table

First DivisionIreland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12921446125+3667
229145105237+1547
329127105743+1443
429118104138+341
529125123440-641
629109103835+339
729107123034-437
82997133243-1134
92979132944-1530
102957172661-3522
First Division - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Cork City29214461253667WWLLW
2UCD291451052371547LDWLL
3Bray Wanderers291271057431443LLWWW
4Longford Town29118104138341WWLWW
5Cobh Ramblers29125123440-641LWLLL
6Kerry29109103835339WWWDL
7Athlone Town29107123034-437LDLWL
8Wexford2997133243-1134WLWDL
9Treaty United2979132944-1530WLWWW
10Finn Harps2957172661-3522LLLLW