Holywell vs Caernarfon Town Prediction - August 28, 2026

Premier LeagueWalesFull time
Holywell
3:5
Caernarfon Town
Projected scoreOur pick
0-2

Alternative:1-1

Asian Handicap: Away -0.51.25Won

Bookmaker odds

Home9.85price falling, opened at 10.00
Draw5.85price rising, opened at 5.55
Away1.21price falling, opened at 1.22

Market move since Aug 25. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.08price rising, opened at 1.06
Under 1.55.65price falling, opened at 5.95
Over 2.51.35price rising, opened at 1.32
Under 2.52.74price falling, opened at 2.88
Over 3.51.94price rising, opened at 1.84
Under 3.51.77price falling, opened at 1.86
Both teams to score
Yes1.75price rising, opened at 1.69
No1.95price falling, opened at 2.03
Odd/Even
Odd1.83price falling, opened at 1.85
Even1.83price rising, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home +1.751.85price falling, opened at 1.89
Away -1.751.77price rising, opened at 1.74

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Holywell vs Caernarfon Town?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 2, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Caernarfon Town are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Caernarfon Town won 4 of their last 5 matches; Holywell won 0 of 5.
  • Caernarfon Town average 3.0 goals per match against 1.6 for Holywell.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-210.5%Projected
  2. 0-39.5%
  3. 1-28.9%
  4. 1-38.0%
  5. 0-17.8%

Top five combined: 44.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeHolywellxG0.84
AwayCaernarfon TownxG2.71
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.9%
2.4%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
1
7.8%
6.6%
2.8%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
2
11%
8.9%
3.7%
1.0%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
3
9.5%
8.0%
3.4%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
4
6.4%
5.4%
2.3%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
3.5%
2.9%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
2.5%
2.1%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 53.1%46.9% No
Over 1.5 86.9%13.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 68.8%31.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 47.4%52.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Holywell win and over 2.5 goals5.7%
Holywell win and both teams score5.3%
Caernarfon Town win and over 2.5 goals58.3%
Draw and under 2.5 goals9.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Holywell or draw23.4%
Caernarfon Town or draw90.9%
Either team wins85.7%
Draw no bet: Holywell10.6%
Draw no bet: Caernarfon Town89.4%
Holywell win to nil3.8%
Caernarfon Town win to nil40.2%
Team goals
Holywell to score56.9%
Caernarfon Town to score93.3%
Holywell over 1.5 goals20.6%
Caernarfon Town over 1.5 goals75.2%
Holywell clean sheet6.7%
Caernarfon Town clean sheet43.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Holywell vs Caernarfon Town
League Table

League Table

Premier LeagueWales · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
16600177+1018
26510163+1316
36501174+1315
46402167+912
56402159+612
66402137+612
76330105+512
86312810-210
96303119+29
1062228808
116213510-57
126105212-103
136024414-102
146015611-51
156015217-151
166006926-170
Europa LeagueRelegation
Premier League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Barry Town66001771018W
2The New Saints65101631316D
3GAP Connah S Quay FC65011741315L
4Cardiff MET6402167912W
5Caernarfon Town6402159612W
6Llandudno6402137612W
7Penybont6330105512D
8Colwyn Bay6312810-210W
9Airbus UK630311929W
10Cambrian & Clydach62228808L
11Briton Ferry6213510-57W
12Haverfordwest County AFC6105212-103L
13Ammanford AFC6024414-102L
14Flint Town United6015611-51L
15Trefelin6015217-151L
16Holywell6006926-170L