Glenavon FC vs Rathfriland Prediction - August 28, 2026

ChampionshipNorthern-IrelandFull time
Glenavon FC
3:1
Rathfriland
Projected scoreOur pick
4-0

Alternative:2-2

Match Winner: Home1.20Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.23price rising, opened at 1.16
Draw5.75price falling, opened at 5.80
Away8.70price falling, opened at 14.50

Market move since Aug 28. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.13price falling, opened at 1.14
Under 1.54.90price falling, opened at 5.00
Over 2.51.44
Under 2.52.43
Over 3.52.19price rising, opened at 2.10
Under 3.51.59price falling, opened at 1.64
Both teams to score
Yes1.82price falling, opened at 2.11
No1.85price rising, opened at 1.62
Odd/Even
Odd1.79price falling, opened at 1.85
Even1.85price rising, opened at 1.79
Handicap
Home -1.51.73
Away +1.51.90

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Glenavon FC vs Rathfriland?

The model's leading scoreline is 4 - 0, with 2-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Glenavon FC are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Glenavon FC average 2.8 goals per match against 1.0 for Rathfriland.
  • Glenavon FC won 3 of their last 5 matches; Rathfriland won 0 of 5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 4-07.4%Projected
  2. 4-17.2%
  3. 3-07.1%
  4. 3-16.9%
  5. 5-06.1%

Top five combined: 34.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeGlenavon FCxG4.15
AwayRathfrilandxG0.97
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
0.6%
2.5%
5.1%
7.1%
7.4%
6.1%
9.1%
1
0.6%
2.4%
5.0%
6.9%
7.2%
6.0%
8.8%
2
0.3%
1.2%
2.4%
3.3%
3.5%
2.9%
4.3%
3
0.1%
0.4%
0.8%
1.1%
1.1%
0.9%
1.4%
4
0.0%
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.3%
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.1%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 61.1%38.9% No
Over 1.5 96.4%3.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 88.5%11.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 75.2%24.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Glenavon FC win and over 2.5 goals81.5%
Glenavon FC win and both teams score51.8%
Rathfriland win and over 2.5 goals3.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals3.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Glenavon FC or draw96.0%
Rathfriland or draw10.8%
Either team wins93.2%
Draw no bet: Glenavon FC95.7%
Draw no bet: Rathfriland4.3%
Glenavon FC win to nil37.3%
Rathfriland win to nil1.0%
Team goals
Glenavon FC to score98.4%
Rathfriland to score62.1%
Glenavon FC over 1.5 goals91.9%
Rathfriland over 1.5 goals25.3%
Glenavon FC clean sheet37.9%
Rathfriland clean sheet1.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Glenavon FC vs Rathfriland
League Table

League Table

ChampionshipNorthern-Ireland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
13321846132+2971
15410145+913
2540193+612
35311148+610
45311115+610
55230107+39
6530279-29
7421198+17
852129907
952129907
10521267-17
11420245-16
12511349-54
135032710-33
145104610-43
15502337-42
165005516-110
Championship - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Limavady United33218461322971
1Newington Youth5410145913
2H&W Welders540193612
3Glenavon FC5311148610
4Queen's University5311115610
5Loughgall523010739
6Newry City AFC530279-29
7Annagh United42119817
8Ards52129907
9Warrenpoint Town52129907
10Moyola Park521267-17
11Ballinamallard United420245-16
12Institute511349-54
13Dundela5032710-33
14Strabane Athletic5104610-43
15Armagh City502337-42
16Rathfriland5005516-110