FC Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax FC Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.66Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.91

Draw3.54

Away3.40

Market move since Aug 25. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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Total goals

Over 1.51.14

Under 1.54.40

Over 2.51.53

Under 2.52.21

Over 3.52.36

Under 3.51.52

Both teams to score

Yes1.50

No2.38

Odd/Even

Odd1.85

Even1.81

Handicap

Home -0.251.66

Away +0.252.04

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for FC Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax FC?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: FC Aarau are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Aug 25, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

FC Aarau and Neuchatel Xamax FC average 2.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-112.2%Projected
1-010.4%Alternative
2-19.1%
0-18.2%
2-07.7%

Top five combined: 47.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeFC AarauxG1.48

AwayNeuchatel Xamax FCxG1.18

7.0%

10%

7.7%

3.8%

1.4%

0.4%

0.1%

8.2%

12%

9.1%

4.5%

1.7%

0.5%

0.2%

4.8%

7.2%

5.3%

2.6%

1.0%

0.3%

0.1%

1.9%

2.8%

2.1%

1.0%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

0.6%

0.8%

0.6%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 53.4%46.6% No

Over 1.5 74.3%25.7% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 49.6%50.4% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 27.6%72.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

FC Aarau win and over 2.5 goals26.1%

FC Aarau win and both teams score20.4%

Neuchatel Xamax FC win and over 2.5 goals17.0%

Draw and under 2.5 goals19.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

FC Aarau or draw69.9%

Neuchatel Xamax FC or draw55.8%

Either team wins74.3%

Draw no bet: FC Aarau59.5%

Draw no bet: Neuchatel Xamax FC40.5%

FC Aarau win to nil23.9%

Neuchatel Xamax FC win to nil15.7%

Team goals

FC Aarau to score77.3%

Neuchatel Xamax FC to score69.1%

FC Aarau over 1.5 goals43.6%

Neuchatel Xamax FC over 1.5 goals32.8%

FC Aarau clean sheet30.9%

Neuchatel Xamax FC clean sheet22.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

Prediction, preview and head to head: FC Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax FC

Head to Head

FC Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax FC: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
March 21, 2026	FC Aarau	1 - 0	Neuchatel Xamax FC
November 28, 2025	Neuchatel Xamax FC	1 - 2	FC Aarau
August 9, 2025	FC Aarau	2 - 0	Neuchatel Xamax FC

League Table

Challenge LeagueSwitzerland · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	6	4	2	0	11	3	+8	14
2	Yverdon Sport	6	3	3	0	10	6	+4	12
3	SC Kriens	6	3	1	2	10	6	+4	10
4	FC Winterthur	6	2	3	1	12	7	+5	9
5	Neuchatel Xamax FC	6	3	0	3	9	9	0	9
6	Étoile Carouge	6	2	2	2	6	6	0	8
7	FC Aarau	6	2	2	2	8	10	-2	8
8	FC WIL 1900	6	1	2	3	9	16	-7	5
9	Rapperswil	6	1	1	4	8	13	-5	4
10	Stade Nyonnais	6	0	2	4	4	11	-7	2

Relegation

Challenge League - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	6	4	2	0	11	3	8	14	DW
2	Yverdon Sport	6	3	3	0	10	6	4	12	DD
3	SC Kriens	6	3	1	2	10	6	4	10	WL
4	FC Winterthur	6	2	3	1	12	7	5	9	LD
5	Neuchatel Xamax FC	6	3	0	3	9	9	0	9	WW
6	Étoile Carouge	6	2	2	2	6	6	0	8	DW
7	FC Aarau	6	2	2	2	8	10	-2	8	DL
8	FC WIL 1900	6	1	2	3	9	16	-7	5	LW
9	Rapperswil	6	1	1	4	8	13	-5	4	WL
10	Stade Nyonnais	6	0	2	4	4	11	-7	2	LL

FC Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax FC Prediction - August 28, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for FC Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax FC?

Why this prediction

Markets to consider

Premium model depth

Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

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Head to Head

League Table