Al Ahli Doha vs Lusail City Prediction - August 28, 2026

Stars LeagueQatarFull time
Al Ahli Doha
3:3
Lusail City
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.70Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.62price rising, opened at 1.49
Draw3.85price falling, opened at 4.30
Away4.51price falling, opened at 5.11

Market move since Aug 27. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.15price rising, opened at 1.08
Under 1.54.30price falling, opened at 5.55
Over 2.51.56price rising, opened at 1.38
Under 2.52.15price falling, opened at 2.63
Over 3.52.49price rising, opened at 2.03
Under 3.51.47price falling, opened at 1.70
Both teams to score
Yes1.60price rising, opened at 1.48
No2.18price falling, opened at 2.45
Odd/Even
Odd1.84price rising, opened at 1.83
Even1.82price falling, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home -0.751.76
Away +0.751.86

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Al Ahli Doha vs Lusail City?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Al Ahli Doha are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-19.6%Projected
  2. 1-18.6%Alternative
  3. 2-08.1%
  4. 3-17.2%
  5. 1-07.2%

Top five combined: 40.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAl Ahli DohaxG2.25
AwayLusail CityxG1.20
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.2%
7.2%
8.1%
6.1%
3.4%
1.5%
0.8%
1
3.8%
8.6%
9.6%
7.2%
4.1%
1.8%
1.0%
2
2.3%
5.1%
5.8%
4.3%
2.4%
1.1%
0.6%
3
0.9%
2.0%
2.3%
1.7%
1.0%
0.4%
0.2%
4
0.3%
0.6%
0.7%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 62.4%37.6% No
Over 1.5 85.9%14.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 67.0%33.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 45.3%54.7% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Al Ahli Doha win and over 2.5 goals46.0%
Al Ahli Doha win and both teams score34.1%
Lusail City win and over 2.5 goals13.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals11.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Al Ahli Doha or draw80.8%
Lusail City or draw38.8%
Either team wins80.4%
Draw no bet: Al Ahli Doha76.1%
Draw no bet: Lusail City23.9%
Al Ahli Doha win to nil27.0%
Lusail City win to nil7.3%
Team goals
Al Ahli Doha to score89.5%
Lusail City to score69.8%
Al Ahli Doha over 1.5 goals65.8%
Lusail City over 1.5 goals33.6%
Al Ahli Doha clean sheet30.2%
Lusail City clean sheet10.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Al Ahli Doha vs Lusail City
Head to Head

Head to Head

Al Ahli Doha vs Lusail City: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
September 24, 2025Lusail City4 - 1Al Ahli Doha
League Table

League Table

Stars LeagueQatar · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1220093+66
2220031+26
3312053+25
4211053+24
5211031+24
6311156-14
721014403
8210134-13
9201134-11
10201134-11
11301249-51
12300327-50
Champions LeagueRelegation
Stars League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Al Sadd22009366
2Al-Rayyan SC22003126
3Al-Arabi SC31205325
4Al Shamal21105324
5Al-Duhail SC21103124
6Al Ahli Doha311156-14
7Al Shahaniya21014403
8Al-Gharafa210134-13
9Al Wakrah201134-11
10Lusail City201134-11
11Qatar SC301249-51
12Al-Sailiya300327-50