Simba vs Coastal Union Prediction - August 27, 2026

Ligi kuu BaraTanzaniaFull time
Simba
1:0
Coastal Union
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Over 2.51.70Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.14price falling, opened at 1.15
Draw5.90price rising, opened at 5.65
Away15.50price rising, opened at 15.00

Market move since Aug 27. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.17price falling, opened at 1.18
Under 1.54.20price rising, opened at 3.84
Over 2.51.64price falling, opened at 1.67
Under 2.52.02price falling, opened at 2.05
Over 3.52.65price rising, opened at 2.59
Under 3.51.41price rising, opened at 1.39
Both teams to score
Yes2.60
No1.42
Odd/Even
Odd1.83price falling, opened at 1.85
Even1.81price rising, opened at 1.79
Handicap
Home -1.751.72price falling, opened at 1.75
Away +1.751.91price falling, opened at 1.93

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Simba vs Coastal Union?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Simba are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Match analysis

Coastal Union arrive at Simba on just two days' rest. Superior's model expects the short turnaround to show in the Tanzanian top flight on 27 August, projecting a 2-1 win for Simba, with 1-1 next in line, with Simba's 1.6 goals-a-game average edging Coastal Union's 1.4.

Coastal Union are playing their second match in three days

A two-day rest window between matches is tight for any side on the road, and Coastal Union's task is made harder by facing a Simba team that scores at a higher rate, 1.6 goals a game to Coastal Union's 1.4.

Simba won their last outing despite trailing

Simba came from behind to beat Singida Fountain Gate 2-1 away, while Coastal Union were held to a 1-1 home draw by Kitayosce in their last match. Both sides are scoring, but only one arrives with normal rest.

Coastal Union have shown they can score after conceding

Coastal Union's 1-1 draw proved they can still find a goal even after going behind. If that resilience travels on short rest, the aggregate scoring picture tightens, and the 1-1 alternative becomes as live as the projected 2-1.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-18.6%Projected
  2. 3-17.2%
  3. 1-16.8%Alternative
  4. 2-26.4%
  5. 2-05.7%

Top five combined: 34.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSimbaxG2.53
AwayCoastal UnionxG1.49
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.8%
4.5%
5.7%
4.8%
3.1%
1.5%
1.0%
1
2.7%
6.8%
8.6%
7.2%
4.6%
2.3%
1.5%
2
2.0%
5.0%
6.4%
5.4%
3.4%
1.7%
1.1%
3
1.0%
2.5%
3.2%
2.7%
1.7%
0.9%
0.5%
4
0.4%
0.9%
1.2%
1.0%
0.6%
0.3%
0.2%
5
0.1%
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
6+
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 71.4%28.6% No
Over 1.5 91.0%9.0% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 76.5%23.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 57.1%42.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Simba win and over 2.5 goals49.8%
Simba win and both teams score39.4%
Coastal Union win and over 2.5 goals16.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals8.5%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Simba or draw78.4%
Coastal Union or draw39.9%
Either team wins81.6%
Draw no bet: Simba73.6%
Draw no bet: Coastal Union26.4%
Simba win to nil20.7%
Coastal Union win to nil6.2%
Team goals
Simba to score92.0%
Coastal Union to score77.6%
Simba over 1.5 goals71.9%
Coastal Union over 1.5 goals44.0%
Simba clean sheet22.4%
Coastal Union clean sheet8.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Simba vs Coastal Union
League Table

League Table

Ligi kuu BaraTanzania · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
15500152+1315
2550092+715
3532095+411
45311127+510
5430162+49
6521297+27
7421165+17
842024406
9520368-26
10411224-24
11411238-54
1100000000
12510418-73
1300000000
13402235-22
14401337-41
15401327-51
1500000000
165014413-91
Champions LeagueRelegation
Ligi kuu Bara - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Young Africans55001521315
2Simba550092715
3Azam532095411
4Singida Fountain Gate5311127510
5Mbeya City43016249
6Geita Gold52129727
7Polisi Tanzania42116517
8Mashujaa42024406
9Namungo520368-26
10Dodoma Jiji411224-24
11JKT Tanzania411238-54
11Singida Black Stars00000000
12Singida Big Stars510418-73
13Fountain Gate00000000
13Kitayosce402235-22
14Pamba Jiji401337-41
15Coastal Union401327-51
15Tabora United00000000
16Kagera Sugar5014413-91