Resistencia vs Cerro Porteno Prediction - August 27, 2026

Copa ParaguayParaguayFull time
Resistencia
0:1
Cerro Porteno
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.38Won

Bookmaker odds

Home7.70
Draw4.10
Away1.37

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.21
Under 1.53.58
Over 2.51.75
Under 2.51.94
Over 3.52.78
Under 3.51.34
Both teams to score
Yes1.96
No1.73
Odd/Even
Odd1.86
Even1.78
Handicap
Home +1.251.80
Away -1.251.88

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Resistencia vs Cerro Porteno?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Cerro Porteno are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Match analysis

Neither Resistencia nor Cerro Porteño average even a goal a game, combining for just 1.6 between them. Superior's model expects that low output to continue in the Copa Paraguay on 27 August, projecting a narrow 1-0 win for the home side, with 1-1 next in line.

The combined scoring average here is just 1.6 goals a game

Resistencia average 1.0 goals a game and Cerro Porteño only 0.6, a combined rate among the lowest of any fixture on this slate. Resistencia's own last match, a 0-0 draw at Sol de América, fits that pattern.

Cerro Porteno's attack rating outstrips their recent output

Cerro Porteño carry a 6.4 attack rating despite averaging just 0.6 goals a game, a gap that suggests their finishing has lagged behind their overall level. They lost 2-1 away at Olimpia in their last match.

That rating gap could close in a single match

A team rated well above its recent scoring output can correct that gap suddenly, and if Cerro Porteño's attack finally clicks, the low-scoring home win the projection expects gives way to a share of the points instead.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-013.6%Projected
  2. 1-113.5%Alternative
  3. 0-012.6%
  4. 0-112.5%
  5. 2-07.3%

Top five combined: 59.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeResistenciaxG1.08
AwayCerro PortenoxG1.00
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13%
14%
7.3%
2.6%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
1
13%
13%
7.3%
2.6%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
2
6.2%
6.7%
3.6%
1.3%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
3
2.1%
2.2%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.5%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 41.5%58.5% No
Over 1.5 61.3%38.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 34.3%65.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 15.6%84.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Resistencia win and over 2.5 goals16.1%
Resistencia win and both teams score12.6%
Cerro Porteno win and over 2.5 goals14.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals26.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Resistencia or draw67.2%
Cerro Porteno or draw63.0%
Either team wins69.8%
Draw no bet: Resistencia53.0%
Draw no bet: Cerro Porteno47.0%
Resistencia win to nil24.4%
Cerro Porteno win to nil21.5%
Team goals
Resistencia to score65.9%
Cerro Porteno to score63.0%
Resistencia over 1.5 goals29.2%
Cerro Porteno over 1.5 goals26.2%
Resistencia clean sheet37.0%
Cerro Porteno clean sheet34.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Premium

Premium

Predictions stay free. Premium adds the extras below, on football and basketball.

  • Match highlightsVideo highlights for football and basketball games, on the match page as soon as we find them.
  • Scoreline DepthExplore the complete score distribution, the five most likely scorelines with probabilities and their cumulative probability.
  • Market Probability ViewCompare model probabilities for BTTS and the main goal lines in one view.
  • Full Market BoardCheck correlated combos such as home win with over 2.5, plus double chance, draw no bet, win to nil and team goals in one board.
  • Custom Acca BuilderUnlimited builds to a target odd, with reshuffle. Free users get 1 build per day.

No automatic renewal.

Today's acca

Lost

3 selections at 2.07

See the ticket