Tokyo Verdy vs Thespakusatsu Gunma Prediction - August 26, 2026

Emperor’s CupJapanFull time
Tokyo Verdy
4:1
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.20Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.34price rising, opened at 1.33
Draw4.85price falling, opened at 4.95
Away8.30price falling, opened at 8.40

Market move since Aug 26. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.14price falling, opened at 1.16
Under 1.54.33price rising, opened at 4.15
Over 2.51.62price falling, opened at 1.67
Under 2.52.23price rising, opened at 2.15
Over 3.52.46price falling, opened at 2.59
Under 3.51.43price rising, opened at 1.39
Both teams to score
Yes1.88price falling, opened at 1.95
No1.82price rising, opened at 1.76
Odd/Even
Odd1.86price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.84price falling, opened at 1.85
Handicap
Home -1.251.76price rising, opened at 1.71
Away +1.251.97price rising, opened at 1.93

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Tokyo Verdy are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Tokyo Verdy and Thespakusatsu Gunma average 2.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-18.7%Projected
  2. 2-18.6%Alternative
  3. 1-27.1%
  4. 2-27.1%
  5. 3-15.7%

Top five combined: 37.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeTokyo VerdyxG1.98
AwayThespakusatsu GunmaxG1.64
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.7%
5.3%
5.2%
3.5%
1.7%
0.7%
0.3%
1
4.4%
8.7%
8.6%
5.7%
2.8%
1.1%
0.5%
2
3.6%
7.1%
7.1%
4.7%
2.3%
0.9%
0.4%
3
2.0%
3.9%
3.9%
2.5%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.8%
1.6%
1.6%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
5
0.3%
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 69.5%30.5% No
Over 1.5 87.6%12.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 70.1%29.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 48.9%51.1% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Tokyo Verdy win and over 2.5 goals35.4%
Tokyo Verdy win and both teams score29.3%
Thespakusatsu Gunma win and over 2.5 goals24.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals11.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Tokyo Verdy or draw67.5%
Thespakusatsu Gunma or draw54.1%
Either team wins78.4%
Draw no bet: Tokyo Verdy58.6%
Draw no bet: Thespakusatsu Gunma41.4%
Tokyo Verdy win to nil16.7%
Thespakusatsu Gunma win to nil11.2%
Team goals
Tokyo Verdy to score86.1%
Thespakusatsu Gunma to score80.6%
Tokyo Verdy over 1.5 goals58.8%
Thespakusatsu Gunma over 1.5 goals48.9%
Tokyo Verdy clean sheet19.4%
Thespakusatsu Gunma clean sheet13.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Tokyo Verdy vs Thespakusatsu Gunma