Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama Prediction - August 26, 2026

Emperor’s CupJapanFull time
Sagan Tosu
4:0
Kataller Toyama
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.40Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.37price falling, opened at 2.51
Draw3.26price falling, opened at 3.28
Away2.90price rising, opened at 2.66

Market move since Aug 26. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.35
Under 1.52.74
Over 2.52.23price falling, opened at 2.25
Under 2.51.61
Over 3.54.15price falling, opened at 4.20
Under 3.51.16
Both teams to score
Yes1.89price falling, opened at 1.90
No1.81price rising, opened at 1.80
Odd/Even
Odd1.85price rising, opened at 1.84
Even1.85price falling, opened at 1.86
Handicap
Home -0.252.01
Away +0.251.74

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Sagan Tosu and Kataller Toyama average 4.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-110.8%Projected
  2. 2-19.0%Alternative
  3. 1-27.7%
  4. 1-07.6%
  5. 0-16.5%

Top five combined: 41.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSagan TosuxG1.66
AwayKataller ToyamaxG1.42
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.6%
7.6%
6.3%
3.5%
1.5%
0.5%
0.2%
1
6.5%
11%
9.0%
5.0%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
2
4.6%
7.7%
6.4%
3.5%
1.5%
0.5%
0.2%
3
2.2%
3.7%
3.0%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.8%
1.3%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.2%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 61.5%38.5% No
Over 1.5 81.3%18.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 59.6%40.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 37.2%62.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Sagan Tosu win and over 2.5 goals29.4%
Sagan Tosu win and both teams score23.8%
Kataller Toyama win and over 2.5 goals21.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals15.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Sagan Tosu or draw67.0%
Kataller Toyama or draw56.7%
Either team wins76.3%
Draw no bet: Sagan Tosu56.8%
Draw no bet: Kataller Toyama43.2%
Sagan Tosu win to nil19.5%
Kataller Toyama win to nil14.4%
Team goals
Sagan Tosu to score81.0%
Kataller Toyama to score75.9%
Sagan Tosu over 1.5 goals49.5%
Kataller Toyama over 1.5 goals41.6%
Sagan Tosu clean sheet24.1%
Kataller Toyama clean sheet19.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

More Emperor’s Cup Predictions

47%
Machida Zelvia
Grulla Morioka
59%
Cerezo Osaka
FC Gifu
Match Winner: Home @ 1.42
53%
Yokohama FC
Criacao Shinjuku
View All Predictions
Prediction, preview and head to head: Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama
Head to Head

Head to Head

Kataller Toyama
3 - 1
Sagan Tosu
November 9, 2025
Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
November 9, 2025Kataller Toyama3 - 1Sagan Tosu