Progreso vs CA River Plate Prediction - August 26, 2026

Copa UruguayUruguayFull time
Progreso
0:2
CA River Plate
Projected scoreOur pick
0-0

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.30Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.40
Draw3.00
Away2.84

This line has not moved since it opened on Aug 26.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.30
Under 1.52.97
Over 2.52.02
Under 2.51.69
Over 3.53.50
Under 3.51.22
Both teams to score
Yes1.77price rising, opened at 1.76
No1.90price falling, opened at 1.91
Odd/Even
Odd1.87
Even1.77
Handicap
Home +01.71
Away +01.98

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Progreso vs CA River Plate?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 0, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: CA River Plate are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Progreso and CA River Plate average 1.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-016.8%Projected
  2. 1-015.1%Alternative
  3. 0-114.9%
  4. 1-113.4%
  5. 2-06.8%

Top five combined: 67.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeProgresoxG0.90
AwayCA River PlatexG0.89
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
17%
15%
6.8%
2.0%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
1
15%
13%
6.0%
1.8%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
2
6.6%
5.9%
2.7%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
3
1.9%
1.7%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 34.8%65.2% No
Over 1.5 53.2%46.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 26.5%73.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 10.6%89.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Progreso win and over 2.5 goals11.9%
Progreso win and both teams score9.3%
CA River Plate win and over 2.5 goals11.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals30.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Progreso or draw66.8%
CA River Plate or draw66.2%
Either team wins66.9%
Draw no bet: Progreso50.5%
Draw no bet: CA River Plate49.5%
Progreso win to nil24.4%
CA River Plate win to nil24.0%
Team goals
Progreso to score59.2%
CA River Plate to score58.8%
Progreso over 1.5 goals22.6%
CA River Plate over 1.5 goals22.2%
Progreso clean sheet41.2%
CA River Plate clean sheet40.8%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Progreso vs CA River Plate
Head to Head

Head to Head

Progreso vs CA River Plate: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
September 14, 2025CA River Plate0 - 0Progreso
March 23, 2025Progreso2 - 1CA River Plate