Preston Lions vs South Melbourne Prediction - August 26, 2026

Australia CupAustraliaFull time
Preston Lions
1:2
South Melbourne
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.24Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.34price rising, opened at 2.17
Draw3.48price falling, opened at 3.58
Away2.79price falling, opened at 3.00

Market move since Aug 23. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.19price rising, opened at 1.17
Under 1.53.76price falling, opened at 4.00
Over 2.51.77price rising, opened at 1.70
Under 2.52.00price falling, opened at 2.09
Over 3.52.83price rising, opened at 2.66
Under 3.51.33price falling, opened at 1.37
Both teams to score
Yes1.60price rising, opened at 1.57
No2.19price falling, opened at 2.25
Odd/Even
Odd1.85
Even1.85
Handicap
Home -0.252.01price rising, opened at 1.87
Away +0.251.73price falling, opened at 1.86

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Preston Lions vs South Melbourne?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Preston Lions are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Preston Lions and South Melbourne average 3.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-19.1%Projected
  2. 2-18.8%Alternative
  3. 1-27.2%
  4. 2-27.0%
  5. 1-05.7%

Top five combined: 37.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomePreston LionsxG1.92
AwaySouth MelbournexG1.59
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.0%
5.7%
5.5%
3.5%
1.7%
0.7%
0.3%
1
4.7%
9.1%
8.8%
5.6%
2.7%
1.0%
0.5%
2
3.8%
7.2%
7.0%
4.5%
2.2%
0.8%
0.4%
3
2.0%
3.8%
3.7%
2.4%
1.1%
0.4%
0.2%
4
0.8%
1.5%
1.5%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
5
0.3%
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 68.0%32.0% No
Over 1.5 86.6%13.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 68.2%31.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 46.7%53.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Preston Lions win and over 2.5 goals34.6%
Preston Lions win and both teams score28.4%
South Melbourne win and over 2.5 goals23.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals12.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Preston Lions or draw67.8%
South Melbourne or draw54.2%
Either team wins78.1%
Draw no bet: Preston Lions58.7%
Draw no bet: South Melbourne41.3%
Preston Lions win to nil17.4%
South Melbourne win to nil11.6%
Team goals
Preston Lions to score85.4%
South Melbourne to score79.6%
Preston Lions over 1.5 goals57.3%
South Melbourne over 1.5 goals47.2%
Preston Lions clean sheet20.4%
South Melbourne clean sheet14.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Preston Lions vs South Melbourne
Head to Head

Head to Head

South Melbourne
0 - 0
Preston Lions
July 18, 2026
Preston Lions
0 - 3
South Melbourne
April 11, 2026
Preston Lions vs South Melbourne: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
July 18, 2026South Melbourne0 - 0Preston Lions
April 11, 2026Preston Lions0 - 3South Melbourne

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