FC Tokyo vs Parceiro Nagano Prediction - August 26, 2026

Emperor’s CupJapanFull time
FC Tokyo
6:0
Parceiro Nagano
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.52.60Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.11price rising, opened at 1.03
Draw7.90price falling, opened at 11.50
Away19.50price falling, opened at 34.00

Market move since Aug 26. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.06price rising, opened at 1.02
Under 1.56.05price falling, opened at 9.20
Over 2.51.32price rising, opened at 1.21
Under 2.52.88price falling, opened at 3.58
Over 3.51.88price rising, opened at 1.56
Under 3.51.87price falling, opened at 2.15
Both teams to score
Yes2.16price falling, opened at 2.68
No1.62price rising, opened at 1.41
Odd/Even
Odd1.87
Even1.83
Handicap
Home -2.251.77
Away +2.251.96

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for FC Tokyo vs Parceiro Nagano?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: FC Tokyo are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-19.9%Projected
  2. 2-09.6%
  3. 1-19.1%Alternative
  4. 1-08.8%
  5. 3-17.2%

Top five combined: 44.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeFC TokyoxG2.17
AwayParceiro NaganoxG1.03
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.1%
8.8%
9.6%
6.9%
3.8%
1.6%
0.8%
1
4.2%
9.1%
9.9%
7.2%
3.9%
1.7%
0.9%
2
2.2%
4.7%
5.1%
3.7%
2.0%
0.9%
0.4%
3
0.7%
1.6%
1.8%
1.3%
0.7%
0.3%
0.2%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 57.0%43.0% No
Over 1.5 82.9%17.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 62.1%37.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 39.8%60.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

FC Tokyo win and over 2.5 goals44.9%
FC Tokyo win and both teams score31.7%
Parceiro Nagano win and over 2.5 goals10.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals13.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
FC Tokyo or draw83.1%
Parceiro Nagano or draw36.7%
Either team wins80.3%
Draw no bet: FC Tokyo78.9%
Draw no bet: Parceiro Nagano21.1%
FC Tokyo win to nil31.6%
Parceiro Nagano win to nil7.3%
Team goals
FC Tokyo to score88.6%
Parceiro Nagano to score64.4%
FC Tokyo over 1.5 goals63.8%
Parceiro Nagano over 1.5 goals27.6%
FC Tokyo clean sheet35.6%
Parceiro Nagano clean sheet11.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: FC Tokyo vs Parceiro Nagano