Albirex Niigata vs Kagoshima United Prediction - August 26, 2026

Emperor’s CupJapanFull time
Albirex Niigata
0:4
Kagoshima United
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.32Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.73price rising, opened at 1.70
Draw3.75price falling, opened at 4.00
Away4.38price rising, opened at 4.27

Market move since Aug 26. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.27price rising, opened at 1.26
Under 1.53.14price falling, opened at 3.20
Over 2.51.98price rising, opened at 1.95
Under 2.51.78price falling, opened at 1.81
Over 3.53.48price rising, opened at 3.42
Under 3.51.22price falling, opened at 1.23
Both teams to score
Yes1.87price rising, opened at 1.86
No1.83price falling, opened at 1.84
Odd/Even
Odd1.83price rising, opened at 1.79
Even1.87price falling, opened at 1.92
Handicap
Home -0.751.89price rising, opened at 1.85
Away +0.751.76price falling, opened at 1.80

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata vs Kagoshima United?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-19.6%Projected
  2. 1-18.7%Alternative
  3. 2-07.7%
  4. 3-17.1%
  5. 1-07.0%

Top five combined: 40.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAlbirex NiigataxG2.21
AwayKagoshima UnitedxG1.25
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.2%
7.0%
7.7%
5.7%
3.1%
1.4%
0.7%
1
3.9%
8.7%
9.6%
7.1%
3.9%
1.7%
0.9%
2
2.5%
5.4%
6.0%
4.4%
2.4%
1.1%
0.6%
3
1.0%
2.3%
2.5%
1.8%
1.0%
0.4%
0.2%
4
0.3%
0.7%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
5
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 63.4%36.6% No
Over 1.5 85.9%14.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 67.1%32.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 45.4%54.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Albirex Niigata win and over 2.5 goals44.5%
Albirex Niigata win and both teams score33.6%
Kagoshima United win and over 2.5 goals14.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals11.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Albirex Niigata or draw79.2%
Kagoshima United or draw40.8%
Either team wins80.0%
Draw no bet: Albirex Niigata74.0%
Draw no bet: Kagoshima United26.0%
Albirex Niigata win to nil25.6%
Kagoshima United win to nil7.8%
Team goals
Albirex Niigata to score89.0%
Kagoshima United to score71.3%
Albirex Niigata over 1.5 goals64.7%
Kagoshima United over 1.5 goals35.5%
Albirex Niigata clean sheet28.7%
Kagoshima United clean sheet11.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Albirex Niigata vs Kagoshima United