Southampton vs West Ham Prediction - August 25, 2026

League CupEnglandFull time
Southampton
1:4
West Ham
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.23Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.52price falling, opened at 2.70
Draw3.70price rising, opened at 3.62
Away2.58price rising, opened at 2.46

Market move since Aug 22. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.17price falling, opened at 1.18
Under 1.54.33price rising, opened at 4.20
Over 2.51.66price falling, opened at 1.69
Under 2.52.23price rising, opened at 2.17
Over 3.52.56price falling, opened at 2.59
Under 3.51.44price rising, opened at 1.43
Both teams to score
Yes1.53price falling, opened at 1.54
No2.37price rising, opened at 2.35
Odd/Even
Odd1.85price falling, opened at 1.86
Even1.85price rising, opened at 1.84
Handicap
Home +01.88price falling, opened at 1.99
Away +01.92price rising, opened at 1.82

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Southampton vs West Ham?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: West Ham are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

The highest combined expected goals figure among today's League Cup fixtures, 4.0, belongs to Southampton vs West Ham on 25 August, and it is why Superior backs Over 1.5 goals at 1.23 with 75 percent confidence. Both sides carry attack ratings above 6.5 apiece.

West Ham have scored in four of their last five matches

West Ham's recent form includes a 3-1 win over Portsmouth and a 5-0 win at Stevenage, either side of a 2-2 draw at Burnley, eleven goals across those three games alone. Their attack rating of 6.6 is one of the stronger numbers in this pull, and that scoring pace does not point toward a quiet night in Hampshire.

Southampton have scored in four of their own last five

Southampton have won three of their last four, including a 3-1 win over Eastleigh and a 2-0 win at Colchester, with only a 1-2 loss to Watford breaking the run. Both sides finding the net regularly is the match-specific reason two goals looks like a low bar here rather than a stretch.

Both sides have a goalless result on record this month

Southampton's 1-0 win over Eintracht Braunschweig and West Ham's 0-0 draw with Rangers both show either side is capable of a quiet, low-event match when the occasion calls for it. If those tighter versions of Southampton and West Ham turn up together in a cup tie neither treats as a priority, this could stay at one goal or fewer.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.0%Projected
  2. 1-28.3%Alternative
  3. 2-17.9%
  4. 1-07.4%
  5. 0-17.4%

Top five combined: 43.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSouthamptonxG1.19
AwayWest HamxG1.33
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
8.1%
9.6%
5.7%
2.3%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
1
11%
13%
7.6%
3.0%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
2
7.1%
8.4%
5.0%
2.0%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
3
3.1%
3.7%
2.2%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
4
1.0%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 51.1%48.9% No
Over 1.5 71.6%28.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 46.0%54.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 24.5%75.5% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Southampton win and over 2.5 goals18.0%
Southampton win and both teams score14.9%
West Ham win and over 2.5 goals22.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals20.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Southampton or draw60.2%
West Ham or draw66.7%
Either team wins73.2%
Draw no bet: Southampton45.6%
Draw no bet: West Ham54.4%
Southampton win to nil18.5%
West Ham win to nil22.4%
Team goals
Southampton to score69.5%
West Ham to score73.4%
Southampton over 1.5 goals33.3%
West Ham over 1.5 goals38.2%
Southampton clean sheet26.6%
West Ham clean sheet30.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Southampton vs West Ham
Head to Head

Head to Head

Southampton vs West Ham: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 19, 2025West Ham1 - 1Southampton