Orebro SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC Prediction - August 25, 2026
Alternative:0-1
Goals: Under 3.51.40Won
What is the prediction for Orebro SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Orebro SK are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
Orebro's own recent matches have been high-scoring, but every one of their three meetings with Varbergs BoIS has stayed at three goals or fewer, and that head-to-head gap is behind Superior's Under 3.5 pick for Sweden's Superettan on 25 August, priced at 1.4 with 86 percent confidence. That price needs only about 71 percent to break even, well under where the model sits.
Goals dry up specifically when these two sides meet
Orebro and Varbergs have played out a 0-0 draw, a 1-1 draw and a 2-1 win for Varbergs in their last three meetings, each one landing under this 3.5 line. That is despite Orebro being involved in results like a 4-1 win and a 3-3 draw elsewhere this month, numbers that would normally point to an open game.
Varbergs have kept the concession column low across two of their last three
Varbergs drew 0-0 with United Nordic and lost 0-1 to Sandviken either side of a 5-0 win over Boljan, a defence that has held firm even when their own attack has been quiet. That containment, set against a head-to-head record that already favors fewer goals, is the basis for the model's 86 percent read.
Orebro have been involved in four matches with four or more total goals this month
Orebro's last five results, a 4-1 win, a 3-3 draw and back-to-back 1-3 losses, have each finished with four goals or more; only a 0-0 draw with Oddevold bucked that trend. If that broader scoring pattern reasserts itself instead of the tighter head-to-head trend with Varbergs, this line does not hold.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Markets to consider
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Grade: WON
This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.
Scoreline Depth
- 1-113.2%Projected
- 0-18.9%Alternative
- 1-28.7%
- 1-08.1%
- 2-18.0%
Top five combined: 46.9%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Market Probability View
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Full Market Board
Correlated combos
Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.
Outcome markets
Team goals
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Today's acca
Lost2 selections at 1.97
See the ticket
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 0 - 0 | Orebro SK |
| September 24, 2025 | Orebro SK | 1 - 1 | Varbergs BoIS FC |
| April 7, 2025 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 2 - 1 | Orebro SK |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | +29 | 47 | ||
| 2 | 21 | +11 | 38 | ||
| 3 | 21 | +11 | 37 | ||
| 4 | 21 | +7 | 35 | ||
| 5 | 21 | +1 | 33 | ||
| 6 | 21 | +2 | 32 | ||
| 7 | 21 | +5 | 31 | ||
| 8 | 17 | -4 | 24 | ||
| 8 | 21 | +3 | 29 | ||
| 9 | 21 | +3 | 27 | ||
| 10 | 21 | -7 | 26 | ||
| 11 | 21 | -1 | 24 | ||
| 12 | 21 | -3 | 23 | ||
| 13 | 21 | -13 | 22 | ||
| 14 | 21 | -7 | 21 | ||
| 15 | 21 | -12 | 20 | ||
| 16 | 21 | -29 | 13 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IFK Norrkoping | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 13 | 29 | 47 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Falkenbergs FF | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 | LWLWW |
| 3 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 37 | WLWWL |
| 4 | Ostersunds FK | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 35 | WDWWL |
| 5 | Osters IF | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 33 | LWWLL |
| 6 | United Nordic | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 32 | DDWDD |
| 7 | Landskrona BoIS | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 31 | LLLWW |
| 8 | Helsingborg | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 24 | LDWLW |
| 8 | Oddevold | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 29 | DDLDD |
| 9 | Sandviken | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 27 | WLLWD |
| 10 | Helsingborgs IF | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 26 | |
| 11 | Ljungskile SK | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 | DWWWD |
| 12 | Norrby IF | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 23 | DDWWD |
| 13 | IFK Varnamo | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 22 | WDLLL |
| 14 | IK brage | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 21 | WDLLW |
| 15 | Orebro SK | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 20 | LDLLD |
| 16 | GIF Sundsvall | 21 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 15 | 44 | -29 | 13 | LLLLL |