Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction - August 25, 2026

Copa De La LigaPeruPEN
Alianza Atletico
5:4Pens
AET 1-1
UTC Cajamarca
Projected score
2-1

Alternative:1-1

Bookmaker odds

Home1.66price rising, opened at 1.62
Draw3.54price falling, opened at 3.60
Away4.63price falling, opened at 5.55

Market move since Aug 24. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.27price rising, opened at 1.25
Under 1.53.14price falling, opened at 3.60
Over 2.51.93price rising, opened at 1.80
Under 2.51.76price falling, opened at 1.90
Over 3.53.34price rising, opened at 2.90
Under 3.51.24price falling, opened at 1.36
Both teams to score
Yes1.86price rising, opened at 1.85
No1.81price falling, opened at 1.87
Odd/Even
Odd1.82price falling, opened at 2.00
Even1.82price rising, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home -0.751.82price rising, opened at 1.75
Away +0.751.80price falling, opened at 1.96

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Alianza Atletico are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Alianza Atletico won 3 of their last 5 matches; UTC Cajamarca won 0 of 5.
  • Alianza Atletico average 2.0 goals per match against 1.0 for UTC Cajamarca.
  • Counter signal2 of the last 3 head-to-head meetings ended level.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-19.1%Projected
  2. 1-18.0%Alternative
  3. 3-16.9%
  4. 2-26.5%
  5. 2-06.4%

Top five combined: 36.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAlianza AtleticoxG2.27
AwayUTC CajamarcaxG1.42
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.5%
5.7%
6.4%
4.9%
2.8%
1.3%
0.7%
1
3.5%
8.0%
9.1%
6.9%
3.9%
1.8%
1.0%
2
2.5%
5.7%
6.5%
4.9%
2.8%
1.3%
0.7%
3
1.2%
2.7%
3.1%
2.3%
1.3%
0.6%
0.3%
4
0.4%
1.0%
1.1%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
5
0.1%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 68.0%32.0% No
Over 1.5 88.3%11.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 71.3%28.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 50.4%49.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Alianza Atletico win and over 2.5 goals44.6%
Alianza Atletico win and both teams score35.0%
UTC Cajamarca win and over 2.5 goals17.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals10.5%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Alianza Atletico or draw76.6%
UTC Cajamarca or draw43.3%
Either team wins80.1%
Draw no bet: Alianza Atletico70.8%
Draw no bet: UTC Cajamarca29.2%
Alianza Atletico win to nil21.7%
UTC Cajamarca win to nil7.8%
Team goals
Alianza Atletico to score89.7%
UTC Cajamarca to score75.9%
Alianza Atletico over 1.5 goals66.3%
UTC Cajamarca over 1.5 goals41.5%
Alianza Atletico clean sheet24.1%
UTC Cajamarca clean sheet10.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca
Head to Head

Head to Head

UTC Cajamarca
1 - 1
Alianza Atletico
March 22, 2026
Alianza Atletico
2 - 0
UTC
August 11, 2025
UTC
0 - 0
Alianza Atletico
March 8, 2025
Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 22, 2026UTC Cajamarca1 - 1Alianza Atletico
August 11, 2025Alianza Atletico2 - 0UTC
March 8, 2025UTC0 - 0Alianza Atletico

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