Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Prediction - August 24, 2026

Esiliiga AEstoniaFull time
Tallinna Kalev
1:3
Maardu
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:2-2

Goals: Over 2.51.29Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.67price falling, opened at 1.80
Draw4.30
Away3.71price rising, opened at 3.33

Market move since Aug 23. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.06price rising, opened at 1.05
Under 1.58.50
Over 2.51.21price falling, opened at 1.29
Under 2.53.58price rising, opened at 3.30
Over 3.51.62price falling, opened at 1.75
Under 3.52.14price rising, opened at 1.96
Both teams to score
Yes1.27price falling, opened at 1.32
No3.29price rising, opened at 3.15
Odd/Even
Odd1.82price falling, opened at 1.90
Even1.82price falling, opened at 1.90
Handicap
Home -0.751.79
Away +0.751.83

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 2-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Tallinna Kalev and Maardu average 4.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 2.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-16.9%Projected
  2. 2-26.8%Alternative
  3. 3-16.0%
  4. 3-25.9%
  5. 1-15.3%

Top five combined: 30.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeTallinna KalevxG2.61
AwayMaarduxG1.95
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.0%
2.7%
3.6%
3.1%
2.0%
1.1%
0.7%
1
2.0%
5.3%
6.9%
6.0%
3.9%
2.1%
1.4%
2
2.0%
5.2%
6.8%
5.9%
3.8%
2.0%
1.3%
3
1.3%
3.4%
4.4%
3.8%
2.5%
1.3%
0.9%
4
0.6%
1.7%
2.2%
1.9%
1.2%
0.6%
0.4%
5
0.2%
0.6%
0.8%
0.7%
0.5%
0.2%
0.2%
6+
0.1%
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 79.5%20.5% No
Over 1.5 94.2%5.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 83.3%16.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 66.8%33.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Tallinna Kalev win and over 2.5 goals46.2%
Tallinna Kalev win and both teams score39.3%
Maardu win and over 2.5 goals25.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals6.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Tallinna Kalev or draw71.0%
Maardu or draw47.5%
Either team wins81.5%
Draw no bet: Tallinna Kalev64.4%
Draw no bet: Maardu35.6%
Tallinna Kalev win to nil13.1%
Maardu win to nil6.3%
Team goals
Tallinna Kalev to score92.6%
Maardu to score85.8%
Tallinna Kalev over 1.5 goals73.4%
Maardu over 1.5 goals58.1%
Tallinna Kalev clean sheet14.2%
Maardu clean sheet7.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu
Head to Head

Head to Head

Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
July 3, 2026Tallinna Kalev3 - 3Maardu
April 3, 2026Maardu1 - 1Tallinna Kalev
League Table

League Table

Esiliiga AEstonia · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12617367538+3754
22714585128+2347
32613586242+2044
42612594337+641
526115104354-1138
626105114850-235
726111144952-334
82777133357-2428
92676134357-1427
102664163567-3222
Esiliiga A - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Tartu Welco26173675383754LLWDW
2Viimsi27145851282347LWLDD
3Flora II26135862422044LWLDL
4Elva2612594337641DWWDL
5Maardu26115104354-1138WWLWD
6Tallinna Kalev26105114850-235WWLDW
7FCI Levadia II26111144952-334DWWWW
8FC Tallinn2777133357-2428WWLWL
9Nõmme United II2676134357-1427WLLDL
10Nõmme Kalju II2664163567-3222LLLDD