LDU de Quito vs Emelec Prediction - August 24, 2026
Alternative:2-0
Goals: Under 3.51.31Won
What is the prediction for LDU de Quito vs Emelec?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 2-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: LDU de Quito are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
Ecuador's two biggest clubs have met three times recently, and all three finished 1-0 or 2-0, the pattern behind Superior's Under 3.5 call for LDU de Quito vs Emelec on 24 August, priced at 1.31. Superior's model leans that way at 73 percent, with a combined scoring rate of just 1.8 goals a game across both sides' recent matches.
Three straight 1-0 or 2-0 finishes between these rivals
The last three meetings have all settled by a single or two goal margin without either side reaching three: Emelec won 1-0 in April, LDU won 2-0 in July last year, and Emelec won the meeting before that 1-0 as well. LDU have scored in only three of their last five, including a 2-1 home win over Delfin SC, and Emelec have managed just four goals across their own last five, with two of those games finishing goalless or level at 1-1.
Both attacks have gone blank inside the last month
This line only loses if the sides combine for four goals or more, something neither has come close to lately. LDU were shut out at home to Independiente del Valle 0-2, and Emelec were held scoreless by Guayaquil City. The route that beats this bet is a game that breaks the recent pattern entirely, most likely if LDU's home finishing suddenly clicks the way it did in the 2-1 win over Delfin while Emelec's attack also clicks on the same night.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Markets to consider
Best price we found across booksPremium model depth
Unlocked after full timePost match archive
Grade: WON
This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.
Scoreline Depth
- 1-012.8%Projected
- 2-011.6%Alternative
- 1-110.6%
- 2-19.2%
- 0-07.6%
Top five combined: 51.8%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Market Probability View
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Full Market Board
Correlated combos
Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.
Outcome markets
Team goals
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Today's acca
Lost2 selections at 1.97
See the ticketTeam news
Confirmed formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| April 25, 2026 | Emelec | 1 - 0 | LDU de Quito |
| July 12, 2025 | LDU de Quito | 2 - 0 | Emelec |
| March 16, 2025 | Emelec | 1 - 0 | LDU de Quito |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | +38 | 68 | ||
| 2 | 28 | +9 | 48 | ||
| 3 | 27 | +5 | 47 | ||
| 4 | 27 | +22 | 44 | ||
| 5 | 28 | +5 | 42 | ||
| 6 | 27 | +6 | 39 | ||
| 7 | 28 | -1 | 37 | ||
| 9 | 27 | -3 | 36 | ||
| 9 | 23 | -2 | 30 | ||
| 10 | 27 | -1 | 35 | ||
| 11 | 27 | -9 | 32 | ||
| 12 | 27 | -12 | 32 | ||
| 13 | 27 | -10 | 30 | ||
| 14 | 28 | -13 | 29 | ||
| 15 | 28 | -11 | 27 | ||
| 16 | 28 | -24 | 20 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 66 | 28 | 38 | 68 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Macara | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 48 | WWWLW |
| 3 | Aucas | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 47 | WLLWL |
| 4 | Universidad Catolica | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 25 | 22 | 44 | WDWWW |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 42 | WDLLD |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 39 | DLLWD |
| 7 | Mushuc Runa SC | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 37 | WLDWL |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 36 | LDDWD |
| 9 | Libertad | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 30 | WWWLW |
| 10 | Leones del Norte | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 | DWDWD |
| 11 | Emelec | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 32 | LLDLW |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 32 | LWLLD |
| 13 | Orense SC | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 30 | LLWLL |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 28 | 9 | 2 | 17 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 29 | LWLLL |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 27 | LLWWL |
| 16 | Manta FC | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 41 | -24 | 20 | LLDLL |
